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Stadium Background

UWA Nedlands vs Joondalup City

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia 2025 UWA Sports Park, Perth
UWA Nedlands Logo

UWA Nedlands

2 - 2
FT
Joondalup City Logo

Joondalup City

Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Gallagher M.
77' Event
Soares R.
80'
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
UWA Nedlands
44%
Draws
20%
Joondalup City
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UWA Nedlands come out ahead of Joondalup City on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • UWA Nedlands have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor UWA Nedlands, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
UWA Nedlands Clean Sheet 15%
Joondalup City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UWA Nedlands Joondalup City
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 18 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 WA State League
UWA Nedlands vs Joondalup City
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 NPL Western Australia
UWA Nedlands vs Joondalup City
2:2
Sep 6, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Joondalup City vs UWA Nedlands
3:1
Jul 12, 2025 WA State League
Joondalup City vs UWA Nedlands
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 WA State League
UWA Nedlands vs Joondalup City
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UWA Nedlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Soares R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ahmedov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Joondalup City Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallagher M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Temata J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UWA Nedlands 35 / 100
Joondalup City 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UWA Nedlands Joondalup City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JOO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UWA Nedlands's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Joondalup City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

UWA Nedlands has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UWA Nedlands VS Joondalup City
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UWA Nedlands

(Home)
25 Jul
UWA Nedlands
2 : 1
Curtin University
18 Jul
Inglewood Utd
3 : 1
UWA Nedlands
11 Jul
Quinns
2 : 1
UWA Nedlands
04 Jul
Kingsley Westside
0 : 3
UWA Nedlands
27 Jun
UWA Nedlands
2 : 1
Cockburn City
Page 1 of 7

Joondalup City

(Away)
25 Jul
Kingsley Westside
2 : 2
Joondalup City
18 Jul
Joondalup City
3 : 2
Murdoch University Melville
11 Jul
Joondalup City
1 : 2
Mandurah City
04 Jul
Joondalup City
3 : 1
Quinns
27 Jun
Subiaco
1 : 4
Joondalup City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Fremantle City2
Kingsley Westside2
UWA Nedlands3
Joondalup City5
Final
Fremantle City2
Joondalup City1