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UWA Nedlands vs Mandurah City

Australia Australia

WA State League 2025 UWA Sports Park
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AI Match Summary

UWA Nedlands play Mandurah City in the WA State League 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, UWA Nedlands averaged 2.28 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Mandurah City averaged 2 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. In past meetings, UWA Nedlands won 1, Mandurah City won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for UWA Nedlands and 1.88 for Mandurah City. This points to a UWA Nedlands double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
UWA Nedlands
18%
Draws
37%
Mandurah City
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: UWA Nedlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • UWA Nedlands picked up more points recently compared to Mandurah City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
UWA Nedlands Clean Sheet 10%
Mandurah City Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UWA Nedlands Mandurah City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.28 2
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 WA State League
Mandurah City vs UWA Nedlands
3:1
Aug 13, 2025 WA State League
UWA Nedlands vs Mandurah City
3:0
May 17, 2025 WA State League
Mandurah City vs UWA Nedlands
3:0
Aug 10, 2024 WA State League
Mandurah City vs UWA Nedlands
3:2
May 25, 2024 WA State League
UWA Nedlands vs Mandurah City
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UWA Nedlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Hooshangian S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ince S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Mandurah City Compare

Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UWA Nedlands 43 / 100
Mandurah City 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UWA Nedlands Mandurah City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: UWA Nedlands or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UWA Nedlands attacking → ← attacking Mandurah City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UWA Nedlands scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Mandurah City let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

UWA Nedlands went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Mandurah City lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 46
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.75
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dianella White Eagle22146246:2248
2UWA Nedlands22152552:2847
3Joondalup City22116541:2639
4Kingsley Westside22107536:2437
5Murdoch University Melville2295850:4632
6Gwelup Croatia SC221021043:3932
7Mandurah City2285934:3329
8Subiaco2285933:3729
9Inglewood Utd22741129:4325
10Curtin University22631331:4621
11Kalamunda City22541323:4019
12Gosnells City22331620:5412