Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UWA Nedlands vs Subiaco

Australia Australia

WA State League UWA Sports Park, Perth
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
07:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UWA Nedlands host Subiaco in the WA State League. This has UWA Nedlands written all over it on paper. Subiaco have shipped 2.25 goals a game lately, while UWA Nedlands have conceded 1.13 and scored 2.13. Past meetings favor UWA Nedlands slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (2.19 - 1.25) back UWA Nedlands to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
UWA Nedlands
15%
Draws
26%
Subiaco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UWA Nedlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UWA Nedlands come out ahead of Subiaco on wins alone.
  • UWA Nedlands are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
UWA Nedlands Clean Sheet 19%
Subiaco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UWA Nedlands Subiaco
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 19 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 WA State League
Subiaco vs UWA Nedlands
2:3
Jun 21, 2025 WA State League
Subiaco vs UWA Nedlands
0:0
Mar 22, 2025 WA State League
UWA Nedlands vs Subiaco
3:1
Aug 31, 2024 WA State League
Subiaco vs UWA Nedlands
2:0
Jun 15, 2024 WA State League
UWA Nedlands vs Subiaco
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UWA Nedlands 40 / 100
Subiaco 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UWA Nedlands Subiaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UWA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UWA Nedlands found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (31 games).

Subiaco has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: UWA Nedlands remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UWA Nedlands VS Subiaco
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UWA Nedlands

(Home)
01 Aug
UWA Nedlands
3 : 0
Mandurah City
25 Jul
UWA Nedlands
2 : 1
Curtin University
18 Jul
Inglewood Utd
3 : 1
UWA Nedlands
11 Jul
Quinns
2 : 1
UWA Nedlands
04 Jul
Kingsley Westside
0 : 3
UWA Nedlands
Page 1 of 7

Subiaco

(Away)
01 Aug
Gwelup Croatia SC
2 : 1
Subiaco
25 Jul
Subiaco
1 : 2
Floreat Athena
18 Jul
Subiaco
2 : 1
Kingsley Westside
11 Jul
Subiaco
1 : 1
Murdoch University Melville
04 Jul
Inglewood Utd
2 : 0
Subiaco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floreat Athena 19 14 3 2 44:18 45
2 UWA Nedlands 19 13 2 4 44:23 41
3 Mandurah City 19 10 3 6 43:35 33
4 Joondalup City 19 10 2 7 34:30 32
5 Inglewood Utd 19 8 4 7 20:22 28
6 Quinns 19 8 3 8 28:36 27
7 Kingsley Westside 19 8 2 9 29:28 26
8 Gwelup Croatia SC 19 6 6 7 30:37 24
9 Cockburn City 19 6 4 9 32:39 22
10 Murdoch University Melville 19 4 7 8 34:39 19
11 Subiaco 19 4 1 14 30:44 13
12 Curtin University 19 3 3 13 17:34 12
Promotion - NPL Western Australia 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League (Relegation)