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Uxbridge vs Chichester City Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Massey A.
43' Event
Moore G.
54' Event
Allsopp E.

AI Match Summary

Uxbridge in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uxbridge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Uxbridge
20%
Draws
23%
Chichester City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uxbridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Chichester City haven't matched Uxbridge's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Uxbridge taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Uxbridge Clean Sheet 20%
Chichester City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uxbridge Chichester City
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 2.33 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Uxbridge vs Chichester City
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uxbridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Massey A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Chichester City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uxbridge 76 / 100
Chichester City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uxbridge Chichester City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uxbridge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Uxbridge scored in 93% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Chichester City conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Uxbridge has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uxbridge VS Chichester City
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Uxbridge

(Home)
29 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Basingstoke
26 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Lewes
22 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 2
Uxbridge
19 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 2
Farnborough
15 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
1 : 0
Uxbridge
Page 1 of 6

Chichester City

(Away)
29 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 1
Chichester City
26 Sept
Thame United
1 : 2
Chichester City
22 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 2
Chertsey Town
19 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 3
SE Dons
12 Sept
Uxbridge
5 : 0
Chichester City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth Parkway 9 6 2 1 23:8 20
2 Uxbridge 9 6 2 1 19:8 20
3 Hanworth Villa 9 6 1 2 17:8 19
4 Bath City 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Poole Town 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
6 Chertsey Town 9 4 2 3 20:15 14
7 Frome Town 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
8 Taunton Town 9 4 1 4 23:22 13
9 Evesham 8 4 1 3 13:14 13
10 Chichester City 9 4 1 4 14:16 13
11 Berkhamsted Town 10 4 1 5 11:14 13
12 Wimborne 8 3 3 2 10:4 12
13 Gosport Borough 9 3 3 3 12:10 12
14 Yate 8 3 2 3 10:15 11
15 Bracknell Town 9 3 2 4 11:18 11
16 Sholing 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
17 Basingstoke 9 2 3 4 14:16 9
18 Hanwell Town 8 1 4 3 7:10 7
19 Gloucester City 9 1 4 4 12:17 7
20 Chippenham Town 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
21 Havant & Waterlooville 9 1 2 6 9:16 5
22 Malvern Town 9 1 2 6 13:25 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)