Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uxbridge vs Evesham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Amartey F.

AI Match Summary

Uxbridge in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uxbridge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Uxbridge
20%
Draws
28%
Evesham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uxbridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Uxbridge have won more games recently than Evesham.
  • Model gives Uxbridge a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Uxbridge have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Uxbridge Clean Sheet 20%
Evesham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uxbridge Evesham
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 2.35 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Uxbridge vs Evesham
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Uxbridge vs Evesham
2:2
Oct 25, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Evesham vs Uxbridge
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uxbridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Amartey F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Evesham Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uxbridge 40 / 100
Evesham 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uxbridge Evesham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uxbridge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uxbridge scored in 92% of their last 26 games.

Uxbridge has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Evesham conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Uxbridge VS Evesham
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uxbridge

(Home)
03 Oct
Uxbridge
3 : 1
Hungerford
29 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Basingstoke
26 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Lewes
22 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 2
Uxbridge
19 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 2
Farnborough
Page 1 of 6

Evesham

(Away)
03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1
Evesham
29 Sept
Evesham
2 : 0
Chippenham Town
26 Sept
Evesham
3 : 1
Stratford
19 Sept
Redditch
3 : 0
Evesham
12 Sept
Evesham
0 : 0
Berkhamsted Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 10 7 0 3 17:12 21
2 Plymouth Parkway 9 6 2 1 23:8 20
3 Uxbridge 9 6 2 1 19:8 20
4 Hanworth Villa 9 6 1 2 17:8 19
5 Bath City 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
6 Frome Town 10 4 3 3 17:13 15
7 Chertsey Town 9 4 2 3 20:15 14
8 Taunton Town 9 4 1 4 23:22 13
9 Chichester City 9 4 1 4 14:16 13
10 Evesham 9 4 1 4 14:17 13
11 Berkhamsted Town 10 4 1 5 11:14 13
12 Wimborne 8 3 3 2 10:4 12
13 Gosport Borough 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
14 Yate 9 3 3 3 13:18 12
15 Bracknell Town 9 3 2 4 11:18 11
16 Sholing 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
17 Basingstoke 9 2 3 4 14:16 9
18 Hanwell Town 8 1 4 3 7:10 7
19 Gloucester City 9 1 4 4 12:17 7
20 Chippenham Town 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
21 Havant & Waterlooville 9 1 2 6 9:16 5
22 Malvern Town 9 1 2 6 13:25 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)