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Uxbridge vs Tiverton

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Moore G.
19' Event
Koita D.
36' Event
Moore G.

AI Match Summary

Uxbridge in this Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uxbridge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Uxbridge
20%
Draws
28%
Tiverton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uxbridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uxbridge lately — more wins on the board than Tiverton.
  • Win probability leans Uxbridge's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Uxbridge Clean Sheet 19%
Tiverton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uxbridge Tiverton
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 8 2
Losses 9 22
Goals Scored 1.86 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Uxbridge vs Tiverton
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Tiverton vs Uxbridge
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uxbridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Tiverton Compare

Top Goalscorer Koita D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uxbridge 85 / 100
Tiverton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uxbridge Tiverton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uxbridge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uxbridge found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Tiverton let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Uxbridge went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Uxbridge VS Tiverton
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Uxbridge

(Home)
31 Aug
Uxbridge
0 : 0
Wimborne
29 Aug
Bath City
1 : 2
Uxbridge
22 Aug
Uxbridge
5 : 4
Taunton Town
15 Aug
Gosport Borough
1 : 1
Uxbridge
11 Aug
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 2
Uxbridge
Page 1 of 6

Tiverton

(Away)
29 Aug
Bideford
1 : 2
Tiverton
18 Jul
Tiverton
2 : 0
Brixham
25 Apr
Tiverton
0 : 3
Farnham
21 Apr
Tiverton
2 : 3
Gosport Borough
18 Apr
Basingstoke
3 : 1
Tiverton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walton & Hersham 42 29 5 8 94:42 92
2 Farnham 42 25 9 8 90:50 84
3 Gloucester City 42 25 7 10 93:51 82
4 Poole Town 42 21 12 9 80:50 75
5 Berkhamsted Town 42 21 9 12 62:50 72
6 Sholing 42 18 15 9 74:53 69
7 Chertsey Town 42 19 10 13 64:55 67
8 Gosport Borough 42 19 6 17 74:75 63
9 Uxbridge 42 15 14 13 74:70 59
10 Havant & Waterlooville 42 17 7 18 78:70 58
11 Plymouth Parkway 42 16 8 18 64:79 56
12 Bracknell Town 42 15 10 17 70:71 55
13 Yate 42 14 10 18 57:62 52
14 Hanwell Town 42 14 10 18 57:63 52
15 Wimborne 42 12 15 15 63:62 51
16 Taunton Town 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
17 Basingstoke 42 14 9 19 61:71 51
18 Evesham 42 11 14 17 51:62 47
19 Weymouth 42 13 8 21 53:71 47
20 Dorchester 42 9 13 20 48:79 40
21 Hungerford 42 9 11 22 47:87 38
22 Tiverton 42 5 3 34 39:115 18
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)