Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uzbekistan U20 vs Yemen U20

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 Shenzhen Youth Football Training Base - Artificial grass, Shenzhen
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Urinboev M.
Assist: Karimov O.
47'
Abdullaev D.
61'
Moqbel M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Uzbekistan U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Uzbekistan U20
6%
Draws
4%
Yemen U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Uzbekistan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Uzbekistan U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Uzbekistan U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Uzbekistan U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Yemen U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Uzbekistan U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Yemen U20 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uzbekistan U20 Yemen U20
Matches Played 35 24
Wins 17 11
Draws 9 3
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U20
Uzbekistan U20 vs Yemen U20
1:0
Jun 27, 2021 Friendly International
Uzbekistan U20 vs Yemen U20
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uzbekistan U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Urinboev M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Yemen U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan U20 95 / 100
Yemen U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uzbekistan U20 Yemen U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UZB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uzbekistan U20's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Recent resilience: Uzbekistan U20 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Yemen U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 24 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Uzbekistan U20 VS Yemen U20
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.67
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Uzbekistan U20

(Home)
20 Jul
Jordan U20
1 : 1
Uzbekistan U20
17 Jul
Jordan U20
1 : 2
Uzbekistan U20
19 May
Turkmenistan U20
0 : 2
Uzbekistan U20
17 May
Tajikistan U20
0 : 3
Uzbekistan U20
13 May
Afghanistan U20
0 : 2
Uzbekistan U20
Page 1 of 7

Yemen U20

(Away)
10 Sept
Saudi Arabia U20
3 : 1
Yemen U20
07 Sept
Yemen U20
2 : 0
Oman U20
03 Sept
Kuwait U20
0 : 2
Yemen U20
31 Aug
Qatar U20
0 : 1
Yemen U20
28 Aug
Saudi Arabia U20
1 : 0
Yemen U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Australia U20330010:39
2China U2032018:56
3Qatar U2031026:53
4Kyrgyzstan U2030033:140
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saudi Arabia U2032013:26
2Iraq U2031202:15
3Jordan U2031112:24
4North Korea U2030123:51
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iran U20330011:19
2Uzbekistan U2032015:36
3Indonesia U2030121:61
4Yemen U2030120:71
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Korea U2032107:37
2Japan U2031206:35
3Syria U2030215:62
4Thailand U2030123:91
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Play Offs)