Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2024

Match Events

12'

Jaloliddinov J.

36'

Davronov A.

42'

Musawi O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Uzbekistan U23 host Afghanistan U23 in the AFC Asian Cup U23 2024. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Afghanistan U23 have shipped 1.67 goals a game lately, while Uzbekistan U23 have conceded 1.13 and scored 2.63. Past meetings favor Uzbekistan U23 slightly — 2-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2023, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.15 xG vs 0.90) point toward Uzbekistan U23. Uzbekistan U23 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Uzbekistan U23

33%

Draws

27%

Afghanistan U23

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Uzbekistan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Uzbekistan U23 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Afghanistan U23.
Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Uzbekistan U23.
League standings and seasonal metrics in AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%

Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Uzbekistan U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Afghanistan U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Uzbekistan U23	Afghanistan U23
Matches Played	35	19
Wins	20	3
Draws	6	2
Losses	9	14
Goals Scored	2.63	0.67
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.67
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2023 Asian Games

Uzbekistan U23 vs Afghanistan U23

Possession: 53% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Sep 6, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U23

Uzbekistan U23 vs Afghanistan U23

Possession: 43% - 59% Cards: 4 - 3

8:1

Sep 22, 2014 Asian Games

Afghanistan U23 vs Uzbekistan U23

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 4 - 0

0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uzbekistan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Norchaev K.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Jaloliddinov J.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.02

Avg xA / game 1.31

Afghanistan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Musawi O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.61

Avg xA / game 0.37

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan U23 50 / 100

Afghanistan U23 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Uzbekistan U23 Afghanistan U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UZB Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uzbekistan U23 scored in 83% of their last 35 games.

Afghanistan U23 let in goals in 79% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Uzbekistan U23 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Afghanistan U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uzbekistan U23 VS Afghanistan U23

2.63 Goals Scored 0.67

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.67

100% Over 1.5 67%

88% Over 2.5 67%

75% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Jordan U23	3	3	0	12:0	9
2	Oman U23	3	2	1	5:1	6
3	Syria U23	3	1	2	11:4	3
4	Brunei U23	3	0	3	0:23	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Korea U23	2	2	0	0	4:0	6
2	Kyrgyzstan U23	2	0	1	1	1:2	1
3	Myanmar U23	2	0	1	1	1:4	1
4	Qatar U23	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vietnam U23	3	2	1	0	9:2	7
2	Yemen U23	3	2	0	1	8:2	6
3	Singapore U23	3	0	2	1	3:6	2
4	Guam U23	3	0	1	2	2:12	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Japan U23	3	2	1	0	7:0	7
2	Palestine U23	3	2	0	1	3:2	6
3	Bahrain U23	3	1	1	1	3:2	4
4	Pakistan U23	3	0	0	3	2:11	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uzbekistan U23	3	3	0	0	19:1	9
2	Iran U23	3	2	0	1	7:1	6
3	Afghanistan U23	3	0	1	2	1:12	1
4	Hong Kong U23	3	0	1	2	0:13	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Iraq U23	3	2	1	0	21:2	7
2	Kuwait U23	3	2	1	0	9:2	7
3	Timor-Leste U23	3	1	0	2	5:10	3
4	Macau U23	3	0	0	3	0:21	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	United Arab Emirates U23	2	1	1	0	3:0	4
2	China U23	2	1	1	0	2:1	4
3	India U23	2	0	0	2	1:5	0
4	Maldives U23	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Thailand U23	3	3	0	9:0	9
2	Malaysia U23	3	2	1	6:1	6
3	Philippines U23	3	1	2	1:9	3
4	Bangladesh U23	3	0	3	0:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Australia U23	2	1	1	0	8:2	4
2	Tajikistan U23	2	1	1	0	3:2	4
3	Laos U23	2	0	0	2	2:9	0
4	North Korea U23	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Saudi Arabia U23	3	3	0	0	12:2	9
2	Cambodia U23	3	1	1	1	5:9	4
3	Lebanon U23	3	0	2	1	3:6	2
4	Mongolia U23	3	0	1	2	3:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Indonesia U23	2	2	0	11:0	6
2	Turkmenistan U23	2	1	1	4:2	3
3	Chinese Taipei U23	2	0	2	0:13	0