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Uzbekistan U23 vs Mali U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Sangare M.
23' Event
Odilov A.
Assist: Jurakuziev O.
38'
Jurakuziev O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Uzbekistan U23
15%
Draws
44%
Mali U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mali U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Mali U23 haven't matched Uzbekistan U23's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Uzbekistan U23's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Uzbekistan U23 Clean Sheet 18%
Mali U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uzbekistan U23 Mali U23
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 17 14
Draws 3 6
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.97 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2024 Friendly International
Uzbekistan U23 vs Mali U23
1:2
Jun 7, 2024 Friendly International
Uzbekistan U23 vs Mali U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uzbekistan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Odilov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

Mali U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan U23 41 / 100
Mali U23 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uzbekistan U23 Mali U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uzbekistan U23 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Mali U23 let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Uzbekistan U23 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uzbekistan U23 VS Mali U23
1.75 Goals Scored 1.67
1 Goals Conceded 0.67
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Uzbekistan U23

(Home)
25 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 0
Saudi Arabia U23
22 Sept
Vietnam U23
0 : 2
Uzbekistan U23
18 Sept
Kuwait U23
0 : 2
Uzbekistan U23
15 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
5 : 1
Philippines U23
10 Sept
China U23
2 : 0
Uzbekistan U23
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Mali U23

(Away)
18 Nov
Indonesia U23
2 : 2
Mali U23
15 Nov
Indonesia U23
0 : 3
Mali U23
19 Jul
FC Bobigny 93
0 : 3
Mali U23
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
02 Jul
Mali U23
2 : 0
Mali U20
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