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Uzbekistan U23 vs Philippines U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

Asian Games CS Asset Minato Soccer Stadium, Nagoya
Uzbekistan U23 Logo

Uzbekistan U23

5 - 1
FT
Philippines U23 Logo

Philippines U23

Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Lucero J.
30' Event
Urinboev M.
Assist: Karimov O.
46'
Sub
Baldisimo M. In: Smith E.
Out: Baldisimo M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Uzbekistan U23 in this Asian Games matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uzbekistan U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Uzbekistan U23
15%
Draws
36%
Philippines U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uzbekistan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Uzbekistan U23 have won more games recently than Philippines U23.
  • Win probability leans Uzbekistan U23's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Uzbekistan U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Philippines U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uzbekistan U23 Philippines U23
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.86 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Asian Games
Uzbekistan U23 vs Philippines U23
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uzbekistan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Saidnurullaev S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Urinboev M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71

Philippines U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Merino J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan U23 86 / 100
Philippines U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uzbekistan U23 Philippines U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uzbekistan U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Uzbekistan U23 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Philippines U23 has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Uzbekistan U23 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uzbekistan U23 VS Philippines U23
1.25 Goals Scored 1.6
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.6
63% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Uzbekistan U23

(Home)
30 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
1 : 2
Japan U23
25 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 0
Saudi Arabia U23
22 Sept
Vietnam U23
0 : 2
Uzbekistan U23
18 Sept
Kuwait U23
0 : 2
Uzbekistan U23
15 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
5 : 1
Philippines U23
Page 1 of 6

Philippines U23

(Away)
22 Sept
Philippines U23
2 : 1
Kuwait U23
18 Sept
Philippines U23
0 : 2
Vietnam U23
15 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
5 : 1
Philippines U23
09 Sept
Philippines U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
06 Sept
Philippines U23
1 : 0
Tajikistan U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Thailand U23 3 2 0 1 8:6 6
3 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
4 Hong Kong U23 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U23 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 North Korea U23 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 Iran U23 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 United Arab Emirates U23 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Vietnam U23 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Philippines U23 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Kuwait U23 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Saudi Arabia U23 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Qatar U23 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)