Sport Picks
Uzbekistan U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23
Asia
Asian Games Paloma Mizuho Stadium, Nagoya 
Match Events
10'
10'
Al Hussain A.
12'
12'
Murtazoyev D.
23'
23'
Alyami S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uzbekistan U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Saudi Arabia U23 have won more games recently than Uzbekistan U23.
- Model gives Uzbekistan U23 a 64% chance of winning this.
- Saudi Arabia U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Uzbekistan U23, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Uzbekistan U23 have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Uzbekistan U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Saudi Arabia U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Uzbekistan U23 | Saudi Arabia U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 16 | 17 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.98 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 25, 2026 Asian Games
Uzbekistan U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23
3:0
Jul 22, 2025 Friendly International
Uzbekistan U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23
3:1
Apr 26, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U23
Uzbekistan U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23
2:0
Oct 1, 2023 Asian Games
Uzbekistan U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23
2:1
Jun 19, 2022 AFC Asian Cup U23
Uzbekistan U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Uzbekistan U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Murtazoyev D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tulkinbekov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Saudi Arabia U23 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.54
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Uzbekistan U23 95 / 100
Saudi Arabia U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Uzbekistan U23 Saudi Arabia U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Uzbekistan U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Uzbekistan U23 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Uzbekistan U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Difficult form: Saudi Arabia U23 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Uzbekistan U23 VS Saudi Arabia U23
1.13 Goals Scored 0.83
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 17%
Recent Form & Match History
Uzbekistan U23
(Home) 03 Oct
China U23
3 : 2 Uzbekistan U23
30 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
1 : 2 Japan U23
25 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 0 Saudi Arabia U23
22 Sept
Vietnam U23
0 : 2 Uzbekistan U23
18 Sept
Kuwait U23
0 : 2 Uzbekistan U23
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
1 : 2 Japan U23
25 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 0 Saudi Arabia U23
15 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
5 : 1 Philippines U23
05 Jun
Uzbekistan U23
0 : 1 Japan U21
17 Jan
Uzbekistan U23
0 : 1 China U23
Page 1 of 4
Saudi Arabia U23
(Away) 25 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 0 Saudi Arabia U23
22 Sept
South Korea U23
2 : 0 Saudi Arabia U23
18 Sept
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 0 Qatar U23
12 Jan
Saudi Arabia U23
0 : 1 Vietnam U23
09 Jan
Jordan U23
3 : 2 Saudi Arabia U23
Page 1 of 7
25 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 0 Saudi Arabia U23
22 Sept
South Korea U23
2 : 0 Saudi Arabia U23
09 Jan
Jordan U23
3 : 2 Saudi Arabia U23
11 Dec
Qatar U23
1 : 1 Saudi Arabia U23
08 Dec
Kuwait U23
0 : 1 Saudi Arabia U23
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
South Korea U23 4
Vietnam U23 0
China U23 3
Thailand U23 0
Uzbekistan U23 3
Saudi Arabia U23 0
Japan U23 1
North Korea U23 0
Semi-finals
South Korea U23 2
China U23 1
Uzbekistan U23 1
Japan U23 2
Final
South Korea U23 1
Japan U23 0
China U23 3
Uzbekistan U23 2
