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Stadium Background

Uzbekistan U23 vs South Korea U23

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Reimov M. In: Saidnurullaev S.
Out: Reimov M.
46'
Sub
Khaydarov A. In: Saidov A.
Out: Khaydarov A.
46'
Sub
Bae Hyun-Seo In: Jang Seok-Hwan
Out: Bae Hyun-Seo

AI Match Summary

Uzbekistan U23 host South Korea U23 in the AFC Asian Cup U23. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Uzbekistan U23 at 1.13 goals for, 1.13 against; South Korea U23 at 1.13 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor South Korea U23 slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 13, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.13) back Uzbekistan U23 to edge this. Uzbekistan U23 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Uzbekistan U23
33%
Draws
27%
South Korea U23
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Uzbekistan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Both Uzbekistan U23 and South Korea U23 exhibit evenly balanced form metrics in recent matches.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Uzbekistan U23.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in AFC Asian Cup U23 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Uzbekistan U23 Clean Sheet 68%
South Korea U23 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uzbekistan U23 South Korea U23
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 18 18
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U23
Uzbekistan U23 vs South Korea U23
2:0
Oct 4, 2023 Asian Games
South Korea U23 vs Uzbekistan U23
2:1
Jan 15, 2020 AFC Asian Cup U23
Uzbekistan U23 vs South Korea U23
1:2
Aug 27, 2018 Asian Games
Uzbekistan U23 vs South Korea U23
3:4
Jan 23, 2018 AFC Asian Cup U23
Uzbekistan U23 vs South Korea U23
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uzbekistan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Karimov B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saidnurullaev S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

South Korea U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan U23 50 / 100
South Korea U23 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uzbekistan U23 South Korea U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UZB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uzbekistan U23 scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

South Korea U23 let in goals in 59% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Uzbekistan U23 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

South Korea U23 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uzbekistan U23 VS South Korea U23
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vietnam U2333005:19
2Jordan U2332014:46
3Saudi Arabia U2331023:43
4Kyrgyzstan U2330031:40
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan U23330010:09
2United Arab Emirates U2331113:44
3Syria U2331112:64
4Qatar U2330030:50
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uzbekistan U2332105:27
2South Korea U2331114:44
3Lebanon U2331025:73
4Iran U2330210:12
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Australia U2332014:36
2China U2331201:05
3Iraq U2330212:32
4Thailand U2330212:32