Sport Picks

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Uzbekistan vs China

World World

Friendly International
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Lin Liangming
(Penalty)
20' Event
Xie Wenneng
91' Event
Khusanov J.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Uzbekistan and China finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Uzbekistan
20%
Draws
80%
China
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: China

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Uzbekistan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • China are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Uzbekistan Clean Sheet 20%
China Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uzbekistan China
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.46 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2026 Friendly International
Uzbekistan vs China
2:2
Oct 16, 2023 Friendly International
China vs Uzbekistan
1:2
Mar 25, 2019 China Cup
China vs Uzbekistan
0:1
Aug 31, 2017 World Championship
China vs Uzbekistan
1:0
Oct 11, 2016 World Championship
Uzbekistan vs China
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uzbekistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Khusanov J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karimov B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

China Compare

Top Goalscorer Xie Wenneng
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan 10 / 100
China 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uzbekistan China

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uzbekistan's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: China conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Difficult form: China registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uzbekistan VS China
1.75 Goals Scored 0.86
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.71
75% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Uzbekistan

(Home)
27 Jun
D.R. Congo
3 : 1
Uzbekistan
23 Jun
Portugal
5 : 0
Uzbekistan
18 Jun
Uzbekistan
1 : 3
Colombia
08 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 1
Uzbekistan
02 Jun
Canada
2 : 0
Uzbekistan
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China

(Away)
09 Jun
China
0 : 0
Thailand
05 Jun
Singapore
1 : 2
China
31 Mar
China
0 : 2
Cameroon
27 Mar
China
2 : 0
Curacao
26 Jan
Uzbekistan
2 : 2
China
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