Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uzbekistan vs Gabon

World World

FIFA Series Milliy Stadium, Tashkent
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Averlant T.
Assist: Babicka S.
14' Event
Shomurodov E.
Assist: Ganiev A.
46'
Sub
Sambissa D. In: Kabinambele B.
Out: Sambissa D.

AI Match Summary

The FIFA Series game between Uzbekistan and Gabon finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uzbekistan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Uzbekistan
15%
Draws
85%
Gabon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gabon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uzbekistan come out ahead of Gabon on wins alone.
  • Model gives Gabon a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FIFA Series form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Uzbekistan Clean Sheet 18%
Gabon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uzbekistan Gabon
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 FIFA Series
Uzbekistan vs Gabon
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uzbekistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Shomurodov E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Urozov J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Gabon Compare

Top Goalscorer Averlant T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan 20 / 100
Gabon 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uzbekistan Gabon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gabon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uzbekistan scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Gabon let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Difficult form: Gabon registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uzbekistan VS Gabon
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Uzbekistan

(Home)
27 Jun
D.R. Congo
3 : 1
Uzbekistan
23 Jun
Portugal
5 : 0
Uzbekistan
18 Jun
Uzbekistan
1 : 3
Colombia
08 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 1
Uzbekistan
02 Jun
Canada
2 : 0
Uzbekistan
Page 1 of 6

Gabon

(Away)
30 Mar
Trinidad & Tobago
2 : 3
Gabon
27 Mar
Uzbekistan
3 : 1
Gabon
31 Dec
Gabon
2 : 3
Ivory Coast
28 Dec
Gabon
2 : 3
Mozambique
24 Dec
Cameroon
1 : 0
Gabon
Page 1 of 6