Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Milliy Stadium

Uzbekistan

3 - 1

Turkmenistan

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

Alikulov K.

Assist: Masharipov J.

25'

Tirkisow S.

Assist: Annadurdyyew A.

29'

Urunov O.

Assist: Shomurodov E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uzbekistan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Uzbekistan

Draws

90%

Turkmenistan

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Turkmenistan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Turkmenistan haven't matched Uzbekistan's recent run of results.
Model gives Turkmenistan a 90% chance of winning this.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Uzbekistan have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Uzbekistan Clean Sheet 20%

Turkmenistan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Uzbekistan	Turkmenistan
Matches Played	32	28
Wins	18	6
Draws	7	5
Losses	7	17
Goals Scored	2.13	1.4
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.4
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2025 CAFA Nations Cup

Turkmenistan vs Uzbekistan

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Jun 6, 2024 World Championship

Uzbekistan vs Turkmenistan

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 1 - 3

3:1

Nov 16, 2023 World Championship

Turkmenistan vs Uzbekistan

Possession: 56% - 45% Cards: 4 - 1

1:3

Jun 14, 2023 CAFA Nations Cup

Turkmenistan vs Uzbekistan

Possession: 55% - 40% Cards: 3 - 0

0:2

Jan 13, 2019 Asian Cup

Turkmenistan vs Uzbekistan

Possession: 44% - 50% Cards: 3 - 4

0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uzbekistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Alikulov K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Urunov O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Turkmenistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Tirkisow S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.27

Avg xA / game 0.78

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan 10 / 100

Turkmenistan 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Uzbekistan Turkmenistan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TKM Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uzbekistan's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Turkmenistan let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Turkmenistan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uzbekistan VS Turkmenistan

2.13 Goals Scored 1.4

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.4

75% Over 1.5 80%

50% Over 2.5 80%

38% Over 3.5 20%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Qatar	6	5	1	0	18:3	16
2	Kuwait	6	2	1	3	6:6	7
3	Afghanistan	6	1	2	3	3:14	5
4	India	6	1	2	3	3:7	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Japan	6	6	0	0	24:0	18
2	North Korea	6	3	0	3	11:7	9
3	Syria	6	2	1	3	9:12	7
4	Myanmar	6	0	1	5	3:28	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Korea	6	5	1	0	20:1	16
2	China	6	2	2	2	9:9	8
3	Thailand	6	2	2	2	9:9	8
4	Singapore	6	0	1	5	5:24	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Oman	6	4	1	1	11:2	13
2	Kyrgyzstan	6	3	2	1	13:7	11
3	Malaysia	6	3	1	2	9:9	10
4	Chinese Taipei	6	0	0	6	2:17	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Iran	6	4	2	0	16:4	14
2	Uzbekistan	6	4	2	0	13:4	14
3	Turkmenistan	6	0	2	4	4:14	2
4	Hong Kong	6	0	2	4	4:15	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Iraq	6	6	0	0	17:2	18
2	Indonesia	6	3	1	2	8:8	10
3	Vietnam	6	2	0	4	6:10	6
4	Philippines	6	0	1	5	3:14	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jordan	6	4	1	1	16:4	13
2	Saudi Arabia	6	4	1	1	12:3	13
3	Tajikistan	6	2	2	2	11:7	8
4	Pakistan	6	0	0	6	1:26	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	United Arab Emirates	6	5	1	0	16:2	16
2	Bahrain	6	3	2	1	11:3	11
3	Yemen	6	1	2	3	5:9	5
4	Nepal	6	0	1	5	2:20	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Australia	6	6	0	0	22:0	18
2	Palestine	6	2	2	2	6:6	8
3	Lebanon	6	1	3	2	5:8	6
4	Bangladesh	6	0	1	5	1:20	1