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Uzbekistan vs Urartu

World World

Friendly International
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Ayvazyan K.
35' Event
Odilov A.
58' Event
Khusanov J.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Uzbekistan and Urartu finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uzbekistan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Uzbekistan
6%
Draws
90%
Urartu
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Urartu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Uzbekistan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Urartu's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Uzbekistan Clean Sheet 10%
Urartu Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uzbekistan Urartu
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 0.6 1
Goals Conceded 3 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Friendly International
Uzbekistan vs Urartu
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uzbekistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Odilov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khusanov J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3

Urartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayvazyan K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan 10 / 100
Urartu 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uzbekistan Urartu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick URA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uzbekistan's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Urartu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Away concern: Urartu has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uzbekistan VS Urartu
0.6 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
80% Over 2.5 38%
60% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uzbekistan

(Home)
27 Jun
D.R. Congo
3 : 1
Uzbekistan
23 Jun
Portugal
5 : 0
Uzbekistan
18 Jun
Uzbekistan
1 : 3
Colombia
08 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 1
Uzbekistan
02 Jun
Canada
2 : 0
Uzbekistan
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Urartu

(Away)
17 Jul
Spaeri
2 : 3
Urartu
17 Jul
Dusheti
4 : 3
Urartu
14 Jul
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 4
Urartu
11 Jul
Gagra
2 : 2
Urartu
27 May
Urartu
0 : 5
Noah
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