Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uzbekistan W vs China W

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Women CommBank Stadium, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Asadova D.
30' Event
Shao Ziqin
(Penalty)
35'
Ablyakimova I.

AI Match Summary

China W in this Asian Cup Women tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Uzbekistan W
6%
Draws
90%
China W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: China W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to China W lately — more wins on the board than Uzbekistan W.
  • Model gives China W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • China W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor China W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors China W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Uzbekistan W Clean Sheet 10%
China W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uzbekistan W China W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.38 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Asian Cup Women
Uzbekistan W vs China W
0:3
Apr 5, 2025 Friendly International Women
China W vs Uzbekistan W
5:0
Oct 26, 2024 Friendly International Women
China W vs Uzbekistan W
3:0
Oct 6, 2023 Asian Games Women
China W vs Uzbekistan W
7:0
Sep 28, 2023 Asian Games Women
Uzbekistan W vs China W
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uzbekistan W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

China W Compare

Top Goalscorer Qingtong Li
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan W 10 / 100
China W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uzbekistan W China W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Defensive concern: China W conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: China W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Uzbekistan W's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Uzbekistan W VS China W
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uzbekistan W

(Home)
06 Jun
Thailand W
1 : 0
Uzbekistan W
03 Jun
Myanmar W
0 : 1
Uzbekistan W
19 Mar
Uzbekistan W
0 : 2
Philippines W
14 Mar
South Korea W
6 : 0
Uzbekistan W
09 Mar
Bangladesh W
0 : 4
Uzbekistan W
Page 1 of 7

China W

(Away)
07 Jun
China W
0 : 1
Russia W
03 Jun
China W
1 : 2
Russia W
17 Mar
China W
1 : 2
Australia W
14 Mar
China W
2 : 0
Chinese Taipei W
09 Mar
North Korea W
1 : 2
China W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Korea W32109:37
2Australia W32108:37
3Philippines W31022:43
4Iran W30030:90
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1China W33007:19
2North Korea W32019:26
3Uzbekistan W31024:63
4Bangladesh W30030:110
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan W330017:09
2Chinese Taipei W32014:36
3Vietnam W31022:63
4India W30032:160
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams