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Uzbekistan W vs China W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Games Women Nagaragawa Stadium, Gifu
Uzbekistan W Logo

Uzbekistan W

1 - 1
FT
China W Logo

China W

Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Dadaboeva K.
46'
Sub
Wurigumula In: Qingtong Li
Out: Wurigumula
46'
Sub
Ying Wang In: Chen Qiaozhu
Out: Ying Wang
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Asian Games Women game between Uzbekistan W and China W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Uzbekistan W
30%
Draws
41%
China W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: China W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and China W come out ahead of Uzbekistan W on wins alone.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on China W taking it.
  • Regular Asian Games Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and China W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Uzbekistan W Clean Sheet 10%
China W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uzbekistan W China W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.8 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Asian Games Women
Uzbekistan W vs China W
1:1
Mar 6, 2026 Asian Cup Women
Uzbekistan W vs China W
0:3
Apr 5, 2025 Friendly International Women
China W vs Uzbekistan W
5:0
Oct 26, 2024 Friendly International Women
China W vs Uzbekistan W
3:0
Oct 6, 2023 Asian Games Women
China W vs Uzbekistan W
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uzbekistan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dadaboeva K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

China W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhang Linyan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan W 10 / 100
China W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uzbekistan W China W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Uzbekistan W's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: China W conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Uzbekistan W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uzbekistan W VS China W
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uzbekistan W

(Home)
09 Oct
Morocco W
3 : 1
Uzbekistan W
25 Sept
South Korea W
6 : 3
Uzbekistan W
21 Sept
Uzbekistan W
2 : 1
Hong Kong W
17 Sept
Uzbekistan W
1 : 1
China W
14 Sept
Philippines W
1 : 1
Uzbekistan W
Page 1 of 6

China W

(Away)
02 Oct
China W
0 : 1
South Korea W
29 Sept
North Korea W
2 : 0
China W
25 Sept
China W
1 : 0
Vietnam W
21 Sept
China W
5 : 1
Philippines W
17 Sept
Uzbekistan W
1 : 1
China W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan W 3 3 0 0 20:0 9
2 Chinese Taipei W 3 2 0 1 3:5 6
3 Vietnam W 3 0 1 2 1:10 1
4 Thailand W 3 0 1 2 0:9 1
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea W 3 2 1 0 19:1 7
2 South Korea W 3 2 1 0 12:1 7
3 Myanmar W 3 0 1 2 0:13 1
4 Bangladesh W 3 0 1 2 0:16 1
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China W 3 2 1 0 11:3 7
2 Uzbekistan W 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Philippines W 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
4 Hong Kong W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams