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Uzbekistan W vs Hong Kong W Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

Asian Games Women Wave Stadium Kariya, Kariya
Uzbekistan W Logo

Uzbekistan W

2 - 1
FT
Hong Kong W Logo

Hong Kong W

Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Khabibullaeva D.
Assist: Shoyimova M.
54'
Chan Chung M. K.
59'
Sub
Ablyakimova I. In: Ergasheva N.
Out: Ablyakimova I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Uzbekistan W in this Asian Games Women matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uzbekistan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Uzbekistan W
20%
Draws
44%
Hong Kong W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hong Kong W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Uzbekistan W at 1.71 per game, Hong Kong W at 1.46.
  • Win probability leans Uzbekistan W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Uzbekistan W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Uzbekistan W Clean Sheet 16%
Hong Kong W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uzbekistan W Hong Kong W
Matches Played 31 26
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 2
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.71 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Asian Games Women
Uzbekistan W vs Hong Kong W
2:1
Apr 9, 2019 Olympic Games Women
Hong Kong W vs Uzbekistan W
1:5
Apr 3, 2017 Asian Cup Women
Hong Kong W vs Uzbekistan W
1:2
Mar 13, 2015 Olympic Games Women
Hong Kong W vs Uzbekistan W
0:1
Jun 15, 2005 Asian Cup Women
Uzbekistan W vs Hong Kong W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uzbekistan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Khabibullaeva D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Hong Kong W Compare

Top Goalscorer Wei L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uzbekistan W 66 / 100
Hong Kong W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uzbekistan W Hong Kong W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uzbekistan W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hong Kong W has conceded goals in 85% of their last 26 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Uzbekistan W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Hong Kong W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uzbekistan W VS Hong Kong W
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Uzbekistan W

(Home)
25 Sept
South Korea W
6 : 3
Uzbekistan W
21 Sept
Uzbekistan W
2 : 1
Hong Kong W
17 Sept
Uzbekistan W
1 : 1
China W
14 Sept
Philippines W
1 : 1
Uzbekistan W
06 Jun
Thailand W
1 : 0
Uzbekistan W
Page 1 of 7

Hong Kong W

(Away)
21 Sept
Uzbekistan W
2 : 1
Hong Kong W
17 Sept
Hong Kong W
0 : 2
Philippines W
14 Sept
China W
5 : 1
Hong Kong W
06 Jun
Hong Kong W
3 : 1
Fiji W
03 Jun
Hong Kong W
3 : 2
Fiji W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan W 3 3 0 0 20:0 9
2 Chinese Taipei W 3 2 0 1 3:5 6
3 Vietnam W 3 0 1 2 1:10 1
4 Thailand W 3 0 1 2 0:9 1
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea W 3 2 1 0 19:1 7
2 South Korea W 3 2 1 0 12:1 7
3 Myanmar W 3 0 1 2 0:13 1
4 Bangladesh W 3 0 1 2 0:16 1
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China W 3 2 1 0 11:3 7
2 Uzbekistan W 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Philippines W 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
4 Hong Kong W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams