Sport Picks

Japan

J1 League Peace Stadium

Kyoto

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

V-Varen Nagasaki play Kyoto in the J1 League. V-Varen Nagasaki are favorites here. Recently, V-Varen Nagasaki averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Kyoto averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, V-Varen Nagasaki won 2, Kyoto won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for V-Varen Nagasaki and 1.00 for Kyoto. This points to a V-Varen Nagasaki double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

V-Varen Nagasaki

25%

Draws

15%

Kyoto

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: V-Varen Nagasaki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

V-Varen Nagasaki picked up more points recently compared to Kyoto.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

V-Varen Nagasaki Clean Sheet 23%

Kyoto Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	V-Varen Nagasaki	Kyoto
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	14	13
Draws	3	4
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	1.34	1.37
Goals Conceded	1.14	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 J1 League

Kyoto vs V-Varen Nagasaki

Possession: 54% - 60% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Mar 18, 2026 J1 League

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto

Possession: 49% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Oct 2, 2021 J2 League

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto

Possession: 50% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Jul 3, 2021 J2 League

Kyoto vs V-Varen Nagasaki

Possession: 57% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Dec 2, 2020 J2 League

Kyoto vs V-Varen Nagasaki

Possession: 57% - 51% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

V-Varen Nagasaki 59 / 100

Kyoto 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

V-Varen Nagasaki Kyoto

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick V-Varen Nagasaki Win (1)

Secondary Pick V-Varen Nagasaki & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.2%

1.92

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

V-Varen Nagasaki attacking → ← attacking Kyoto

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

V-Varen Nagasaki scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Kyoto let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

V-Varen Nagasaki went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kyoto lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 43

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00