Sport Picks
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J1 League Peace Stadium, Nagasaki 
AI Match Summary
V-Varen Nagasaki host Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the J1 League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. V-Varen Nagasaki have averaged 1.18 scored and 1.64 conceded recently, against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 2.17 scored and 0.93 conceded. Past meetings favor Sanfrecce Hiroshima slightly — 0-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Sanfrecce Hiroshima lately — more wins on the board than V-Varen Nagasaki.
- Model gives Sanfrecce Hiroshima a 60% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Sanfrecce Hiroshima have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | V-Varen Nagasaki | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 20 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 15 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.64 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: V-Varen Nagasaki scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Solid form: V-Varen Nagasaki remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
V-Varen Nagasaki
(Home)Sanfrecce Hiroshima
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:6 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 19 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17:14 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | 13 |
| 11 | Urawa Reds | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:21 | 12 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | 12 |
| 13 | Mito | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | 9 |
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:16 | 9 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9:15 | 9 |
| 16 | Kyoto | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 17 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:13 | 7 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 19 | Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 5 |
| 20 | Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4:14 | 4 |
