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Vaajakoski vs HAPK

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A 2025 Vaajakosken keskuskentta
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Sub
Lammassaari L. In: Paivahonka R.
Out: Lammassaari L.
18' Event
Kovaqi G.
23'
Kolsi M.

AI Match Summary

Vaajakoski in this Kakkonen Group A 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vaajakoski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Vaajakoski
6%
Draws
4%
HAPK
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vaajakoski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vaajakoski have won more games recently than HAPK.
  • Model gives Vaajakoski a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • Vaajakoski have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Vaajakoski Clean Sheet 68%
HAPK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaajakoski HAPK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.5 4.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 4.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
Vaajakoski vs HAPK
4:2
Sep 13, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
HAPK vs Vaajakoski
0:3
Jul 26, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
HAPK vs Vaajakoski
1:4
May 24, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
Vaajakoski vs HAPK
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaajakoski Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovaqi G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Liimatainen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

HAPK Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruohio A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaajakoski 95 / 100
HAPK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaajakoski HAPK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vaajakoski's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

HAPK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Vaajakoski remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vaajakoski VS HAPK
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 4.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%