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Vaajakoski vs JPS Jyvaskyla Prediction & H2H Stats

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A 2025 Vaajakosken keskuskentta, Vaajakoski
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Liimatainen M.
(Penalty)
29' Event
Kurkisuo S.
53' Event
Hamalainen A.

AI Match Summary

Vaajakoski in this Kakkonen Group A 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vaajakoski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vaajakoski
20%
Draws
40%
JPS Jyvaskyla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • JPS Jyvaskyla haven't matched Vaajakoski's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vaajakoski a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group A 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vaajakoski have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Vaajakoski Clean Sheet 68%
JPS Jyvaskyla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaajakoski JPS Jyvaskyla
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 2.13 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.03 4.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
JPS Jyvaskyla vs Vaajakoski
2:2
Aug 30, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
Vaajakoski vs JPS Jyvaskyla
7:0
Aug 7, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
Vaajakoski vs JPS Jyvaskyla
4:0
Jun 11, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
JPS Jyvaskyla vs Vaajakoski
1:5
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Vaajakoski vs JPS Jyvaskyla
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaajakoski Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurkisuo S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hamalainen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

JPS Jyvaskyla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaajakoski 95 / 100
JPS Jyvaskyla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaajakoski JPS Jyvaskyla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaajakoski Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JPS Jyvaskyla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.

Vaajakoski's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

JPS Jyvaskyla's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vaajakoski VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaajakoski

(Home)
26 Sept
JS Hercules
2 : 2
Vaajakoski
19 Sept
Vaajakoski
0 : 1
TP-47
12 Sept
SJK Akatemia 2
2 : 1
Vaajakoski
06 Sept
Vaajakoski
2 : 0
JS Hercules
22 Aug
TP-47
4 : 2
Vaajakoski
Page 1 of 7

JPS Jyvaskyla

(Away)
28 Apr
JPS Jyvaskyla
3 : 5
Mikkelin
10 Apr
JIPPO II
0 : 2
JPS Jyvaskyla
04 Oct
HAPK
3 : 2
JPS Jyvaskyla
28 Sept
JPS Jyvaskyla
1 : 9
Lahden Reipas
18 Sept
JPS Jyvaskyla
2 : 2
Vaajakoski
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honka 18 16 1 1 79:13 49
2 VJS 18 13 3 2 54:18 42
3 PuiU Helsinki 18 10 1 7 32:26 31
4 PEPO 18 9 2 7 31:29 29
5 MyPa 18 8 3 7 47:39 27
6 GrIFK 18 7 4 7 37:36 25
7 Lahden Reipas 18 7 2 9 41:43 23
8 Vaajakoski 18 7 1 10 37:41 22
9 HAPK 18 1 3 14 13:67 6
10 JPS Jyvaskyla 18 1 2 15 18:77 5
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A 2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Kakkonen Group A 2025 (Losers stage)