Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vaca Diez vs Bolivar

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional 2023 Estadio Roberto Jordán Cuéllar, Cobija
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Rocha Y.
Assist: Paz L.
17'
Quinones Y.
18' Event
Vaca R.

AI Match Summary

Vaca Diez in this Division Profesional 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vaca Diez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Vaca Diez
30%
Draws
64%
Bolivar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bolivar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Bolivar have won more games recently than Vaca Diez.
  • Model gives Bolivar a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division Profesional 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Vaca Diez Clean Sheet 16%
Bolivar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaca Diez Bolivar
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 0.97 2.11
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2023 Division Profesional
Vaca Diez vs Bolivar
4:3
Apr 9, 2023 Division Profesional
Bolivar vs Vaca Diez
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaca Diez Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paredes M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Bolivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Rocha Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vaca R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaca Diez 10 / 100
Bolivar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaca Diez Bolivar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bolivar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bolivar let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Vaca Diez found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Vaca Diez has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bolivar
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaca Diez

(Home)
21 Sept
Vaca Diez
0 : 0
Wilstermann Cooperativas
15 Sept
Vaca Diez
1 : 3
3 de Febrero
06 Sept
Academia del Balompie
5 : 0
Vaca Diez
31 Aug
3 de Febrero
3 : 0
Vaca Diez
25 Aug
Vaca Diez
1 : 4
Academia del Balompie
Page 1 of 6

Bolivar

(Away)
20 Sept
The Strongest
1 : 1
Bolivar
18 Sept
Bolivar
4 : 2
GV San Jose
14 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 2
Bolivar
11 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1
Independiente
06 Sept
Independiente
0 : 4
Bolivar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 The Strongest 32 19 8 5 65:34 65
2 Bolivar 32 17 6 9 84:42 57
3 Always Ready 32 16 9 7 54:36 57
4 Nacional Potosi 32 16 6 10 72:46 54
5 Aurora 32 14 9 9 45:31 51
6 Tomayapo 32 13 10 9 36:34 49
7 Santa Cruz 32 13 7 12 31:42 46
8 Jorge Wilstermann 32 12 13 7 39:27 43
9 Oriente Petrolero 32 11 10 11 44:42 43
10 Club Universitario de Vinto 32 9 14 9 30:28 41
11 Independiente 32 13 1 18 33:45 40
12 Royal Pari 32 8 11 13 40:53 35
13 Guabira 32 10 5 17 34:49 35
14 Blooming 32 9 6 17 37:56 33
15 Libertad Gran Mamore 32 9 6 17 32:65 33
16 Vaca Diez 32 8 8 16 42:61 32
17 Atletico Palmaflor 32 8 5 19 32:59 29
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2024 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional 2023 (Relegation)