Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vaca Diez vs Bolivar

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional 2023 Estadio Roberto Jordán Cuéllar, Cobija
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Rocha Y.
Assist: Paz L.
17'
Quinones Y.
18' Event
Vaca R.

AI Match Summary

Vaca Diez in this Division Profesional 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vaca Diez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vaca Diez
6%
Draws
90%
Bolivar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bolivar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bolivar have won more games recently than Vaca Diez.
  • Model gives Bolivar a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division Profesional 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Vaca Diez Clean Sheet 11%
Bolivar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaca Diez Bolivar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0 2.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2023 Division Profesional
Vaca Diez vs Bolivar
4:3
Apr 9, 2023 Division Profesional
Bolivar vs Vaca Diez
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaca Diez Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paredes M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Bolivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Rocha Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vaca R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaca Diez 10 / 100
Bolivar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaca Diez Bolivar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Bolivar let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Bolivar has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Vaca Diez scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bolivar
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaca Diez

(Home)
21 Sept
Vaca Diez
0 : 0
Wilstermann Cooperativas
15 Sept
Vaca Diez
1 : 3
3 de Febrero
06 Sept
Academia del Balompie
5 : 0
Vaca Diez
31 Aug
3 de Febrero
3 : 0
Vaca Diez
25 Aug
Vaca Diez
1 : 4
Academia del Balompie
Page 1 of 6

Bolivar

(Away)
18 Jul
Bolivar
4 : 0
Guabira
12 Jul
The Strongest
1 : 1
Bolivar
28 May
Bolivar
1 : 3
Ind. Rivadavia
19 May
Fluminense
2 : 1
Bolivar
16 May
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 2
Bolivar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1The Strongest32198565:3465
2Bolivar32176984:4257
3Always Ready32169754:3657
4Nacional Potosi321661072:4654
5Aurora32149945:3151
6Tomayapo321310936:3449
7Santa Cruz321371231:4246
8Jorge Wilstermann321213739:2743
9Oriente Petrolero3211101144:4243
10Club Universitario de Vinto32914930:2841
11Independiente321311833:4540
12Royal Pari328111340:5335
13Guabira321051734:4935
14Blooming32961737:5633
15Libertad Gran Mamore32961732:6533
16Vaca Diez32881642:6132
17Atletico Palmaflor32851932:5929
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2024 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional 2023 (Relegation)