Sport Picks

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Vaca Diez vs Independiente

Bolivia Bolivia

League Cup 2023 Estadio Roberto Jordán Cuéllar
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Arroyo M.
13'
Sub
Ramirez R. In: Godoy J.
Out: Ramirez R.
29'
Fernandez J.

AI Match Summary

The League Cup 2023 game between Vaca Diez and Independiente finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Independiente.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Vaca Diez
22%
Draws
60%
Independiente
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Independiente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Independiente come out ahead of Vaca Diez on wins alone.
  • Independiente are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal League Cup 2023 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Vaca Diez Clean Sheet 20%
Independiente Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaca Diez Independiente
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2023 Copa Pacena
Independiente vs Vaca Diez
3:0
Aug 20, 2023 Division Profesional
Independiente vs Vaca Diez
0:1
Jul 21, 2023 Copa Pacena
Vaca Diez vs Independiente
0:1
Apr 1, 2023 Division Profesional
Vaca Diez vs Independiente
1:0
Dec 20, 2020 Copa Simon Bolivar
Independiente vs Vaca Diez
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaca Diez 20 / 100
Independiente 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaca Diez Independiente

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independiente let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Independiente registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Vaca Diez's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Independiente
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolivar1080224:724
2Jorge Wilstermann1052320:1117
3Royal Pari1041514:1513
4Libertad Gran Mamore1041510:1713
5Tomayapo103347:1312
6Oriente Petrolero101367:196
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aurora83415:413
2The Strongest833210:612
3Guabira83239:711
4Atletico Palmaflor82425:510
5Santa Cruz81344:116
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blooming1071216:822
2Always Ready1043320:1715
3Club Universitario de Vinto1043317:1715
4Nacional Potosi1033420:1712
5Vaca Diez1040614:2112
6Independiente1022610:178