Sport Picks
Vaca Diez vs Independiente
Bolivia
League Cup 2023 Estadio Roberto Jordán Cuéllar, Cobija 
Match Events
3'
3'
Arroyo M.
13'
13'
Sub
Ramirez R. In: Godoy J.
Out: Ramirez R.
29'
29'
Fernandez J.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Independiente advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
20%
64%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Independiente
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Independiente come out ahead of Vaca Diez on wins alone.
- 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Independiente arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Independiente, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Vaca Diez Clean Sheet 20%
Independiente Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vaca Diez | Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 18 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 31, 2023 Copa Pacena
Independiente vs Vaca Diez
3:0
Aug 20, 2023 Division Profesional
Independiente vs Vaca Diez
0:1
Jul 21, 2023 Copa Pacena
Vaca Diez vs Independiente
0:1
Apr 1, 2023 Division Profesional
Vaca Diez vs Independiente
1:0
Dec 20, 2020 Copa Simon Bolivar
Independiente vs Vaca Diez
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vaca Diez 32 / 100
Independiente 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vaca Diez Independiente
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independiente Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Independiente conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Independiente's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Attacking prowess: Vaca Diez scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Independiente
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Vaca Diez
(Home) 21 Sept
Vaca Diez
0 : 0 Wilstermann Cooperativas
15 Sept
Vaca Diez
1 : 3 3 de Febrero
06 Sept
Academia del Balompie
5 : 0 Vaca Diez
31 Aug
3 de Febrero
3 : 0 Vaca Diez
25 Aug
Vaca Diez
1 : 4 Academia del Balompie
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Vaca Diez
0 : 0 Wilstermann Cooperativas
15 Sept
Vaca Diez
1 : 3 3 de Febrero
25 Aug
Vaca Diez
1 : 4 Academia del Balompie
02 Dec
Vaca Diez
0 : 3 Blooming
23 Nov
Vaca Diez
2 : 2 The Strongest
Page 1 of 3
Independiente
(Away) 13 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 1 Independiente
11 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1 Independiente
06 Sept
Independiente
0 : 4 Bolivar
01 Sept
Tomayapo
3 : 0 Independiente
27 Aug
Independiente
3 : 1 Guabira
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 1 Independiente
11 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1 Independiente
01 Sept
Tomayapo
3 : 0 Independiente
22 Aug
Nacional Potosi
3 : 0 Independiente
08 Aug
The Strongest
1 : 2 Independiente
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolivar | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 24:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Jorge Wilstermann | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 17 |
| 3 | Royal Pari | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:15 | 13 |
| 4 | Libertad Gran Mamore | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:17 | 13 |
| 5 | Tomayapo | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7:13 | 12 |
| 6 | Oriente Petrolero | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:19 | 6 |
Promotion - League Cup 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurora | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5:4 | 13 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Guabira | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:7 | 11 |
| 4 | Atletico Palmaflor | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5:5 | 10 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:11 | 6 |
Promotion - League Cup 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blooming | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16:8 | 22 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20:17 | 15 |
| 3 | Club Universitario de Vinto | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:17 | 15 |
| 4 | Nacional Potosi | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 20:17 | 12 |
| 5 | Vaca Diez | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14:21 | 12 |
| 6 | Independiente | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | 8 |
Promotion - League Cup 2023 (Play Offs)
