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Vado vs Acqui US

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 game between Vado and Acqui US finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vado
15%
Draws
85%
Acqui US
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Acqui US

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Vado carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Vado taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Vado Clean Sheet 20%
Acqui US Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vado Acqui US
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.87 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Acqui US
2:0
Nov 29, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Acqui US vs Vado
1:2
Apr 2, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Acqui US
1:1
Nov 23, 2014 Serie D - Group A
Acqui US vs Vado
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vado 36 / 100
Acqui US 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vado Acqui US

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vado scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Acqui US has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Acqui US lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vado VS -
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vado

(Home)
20 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Pescara
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Vado
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Campobasso
06 Sept
Reggiana
3 : 1
Vado
02 Sept
Spezia
3 : 0
Vado
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Acqui US

(Away)
08 May
Acqui US
0 : 4
Pinerolo
01 May
Ligorna
2 : 1
Acqui US
24 Apr
Acqui US
1 : 0
Castellazzo
17 Apr
Vado
2 : 0
Acqui US
10 Apr
Acqui US
0 : 0
OltrepoVoghera
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Bellinzago 38 27 5 6 74:31 86
2 Caronnese 38 24 10 4 74:23 82
3 Lavagnese 38 21 11 6 66:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 22 6 10 74:41 72
5 Argentina 38 18 12 8 48:25 66
6 Gozzano 38 18 9 11 66:38 63
7 Sestri Levante 38 16 13 9 40:25 61
8 Pinerolo 38 19 4 15 50:46 61
9 RapalloBogliasco 38 16 9 13 52:40 57
10 OltrepoVoghera 38 13 14 11 53:44 53
11 Derthona FbC 38 13 13 12 52:48 52
12 Bra 38 15 6 17 53:55 51
13 Borgosesia Calcio 38 12 11 15 40:46 47
14 Pro Settimo 38 11 10 17 36:45 43
15 Ligorna 38 10 10 18 45:73 40
16 Vado 38 10 10 18 43:61 40
17 Fezzanese 38 9 7 22 38:75 34
18 Acqui US 38 7 7 24 29:70 28
19 Castellazzo 38 5 7 26 29:73 22
20 Novese 38 5 4 29 26:99 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)