Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vado vs Atalanta U23

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Giuseppe Sivori, Sestri Levante
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Lazzarini M.
44' Event
Simonetta J.
Assist: Vita D.
58'
Sub
Manzoni A. In: Misitano G.
Out: Manzoni A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B game between Vado and Atalanta U23 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Vado
15%
Draws
51%
Atalanta U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atalanta U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vado come out ahead of Atalanta U23 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Atalanta U23's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Vado Clean Sheet 18%
Atalanta U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vado Atalanta U23
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.89 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Vado vs Atalanta U23
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vado Compare

Top Goalscorer Lazzarini M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simonetta J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Atalanta U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vado 28 / 100
Atalanta U23 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vado Atalanta U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atalanta U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atalanta U23 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Vado scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Atalanta U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vado VS Atalanta U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vado

(Home)
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Campobasso
06 Sept
Reggiana
3 : 1
Vado
02 Sept
Spezia
3 : 0
Vado
28 Aug
Pianese
0 : 0
Vado
21 Aug
Vado
2 : 0
Atalanta U23
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Atalanta U23

(Away)
12 Sept
Atalanta U23
2 : 1
Pescara
06 Sept
Livorno
1 : 0
Atalanta U23
30 Aug
Atalanta U23
2 : 1
Guidonia 1937
21 Aug
Vado
2 : 0
Atalanta U23
15 Aug
Cittadella
3 : 2
Atalanta U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
2 Ravenna 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
3 Reggiana 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
4 Grosseto 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
5 Guidonia 1937 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
6 Forli FC 4 2 1 1 10:8 7
7 Livorno 4 2 1 1 3:3 7
8 Perugia 4 2 1 1 5:6 7
9 Gubbio 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
10 Campobasso 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
11 Sassari Torres 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
12 Atalanta U23 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
13 Pineto 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
14 Vado 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
15 Pescara 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
16 Latina 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
17 Ostiamare 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
18 Pianese 4 0 2 2 0:3 2
19 Sambenedettese 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
20 Vis Pesaro 4 0 1 3 4:8 1
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)