Sport Picks
Vado vs Borgosesia Calcio Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 
Match Events
41'
41'
Merkaj O.
58'
58'
Lo Bosco L.
63'
63'
Mikhaylovsky V.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 game between Vado and Borgosesia Calcio finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vado.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Borgosesia Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Vado come out ahead of Borgosesia Calcio on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Vado here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Vado Clean Sheet 20%
Borgosesia Calcio Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vado | Borgosesia Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 40 | 29 |
| Wins | 22 | 3 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 0.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.02 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.99 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Borgosesia Calcio
4:0
Dec 16, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Vado
1:2
Mar 1, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Vado
0:1
Oct 5, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Borgosesia Calcio
3:2
Mar 30, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Borgosesia Calcio
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vado Compare
Top Goalscorer Merkaj O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lo Bosco L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.76
Avg xA / game 0.49
Borgosesia Calcio Compare
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vado 36 / 100
Borgosesia Calcio 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vado Borgosesia Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Borgosesia Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Borgosesia Calcio let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.
Attacking prowess: Vado scored in 73% of their last 40 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Vado went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Vado VS Borgosesia Calcio
1.13 Goals Scored 0.71
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.86
75% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Vado
(Home) 03 Oct
Vado
1 : 0 Forli FC
26 Sept
Sassari Torres
0 : 0 Vado
20 Sept
Vado
0 : 1 Pescara
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2 Vado
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1 Campobasso
Page 1 of 8
03 Oct
Vado
1 : 0 Forli FC
20 Sept
Vado
0 : 1 Pescara
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1 Campobasso
21 Aug
Vado
2 : 0 Atalanta U23
14 Aug
Vado
2 : 1 Inter U23
Page 1 of 4
Borgosesia Calcio
(Away) 30 Sept
Chisola
2 : 2 Borgosesia Calcio
27 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2 Borgosesia Calcio
20 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1 Bra
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0 Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 2 Saluzzo
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Chisola
2 : 2 Borgosesia Calcio
27 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2 Borgosesia Calcio
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0 Borgosesia Calcio
28 Apr
Vado
4 : 0 Borgosesia Calcio
21 Apr
Alcione Milano
3 : 0 Borgosesia Calcio
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 70:27 | 79 |
| 2 | Chisola | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 64:37 | 72 |
| 3 | Varese FC | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 49:33 | 66 |
| 4 | Vado | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 51:28 | 65 |
| 5 | NovaRomentin | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 58:38 | 65 |
| 6 | Bra | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 47:30 | 65 |
| 7 | Ligorna | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 44:37 | 63 |
| 8 | Asti Calcio | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 42:33 | 59 |
| 9 | Albenga | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 51:33 | 58 |
| 10 | Sanremese | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 34:33 | 52 |
| 11 | Fezzanese | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 42:50 | 51 |
| 12 | Gozzano | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 35:38 | 45 |
| 13 | Lavagnese | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 46:47 | 44 |
| 14 | Vogherese | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 42:57 | 42 |
| 15 | Derthona FbC | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 34:52 | 41 |
| 16 | AC Chieri | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 39:52 | 39 |
| 17 | Pinerolo | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 25:44 | 37 |
| 18 | Alba | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 39:63 | 37 |
| 19 | PDHA | 38 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25:63 | 22 |
| 20 | Borgosesia Calcio | 38 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25:67 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)
