Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vado vs Campobasso

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Giuseppe Sivori, Sestri Levante
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Stoppa M.
Assist: Bifulco A.
38'
Sub
Celesia C. In: Corbo G.
Out: Celesia C.
44'
Pierno R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B game between Vado and Campobasso finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Campobasso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vado
20%
Draws
80%
Campobasso
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Campobasso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Campobasso come out ahead of Vado on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Campobasso taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Vado Clean Sheet 16%
Campobasso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vado Campobasso
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.89 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Vado vs Campobasso
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vado Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Campobasso Compare

Top Goalscorer Stoppa M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vado 28 / 100
Campobasso 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vado Campobasso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campobasso Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vado scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Campobasso has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Campobasso lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vado VS Campobasso
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vado

(Home)
20 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Pescara
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Vado
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Campobasso
06 Sept
Reggiana
3 : 1
Vado
02 Sept
Spezia
3 : 0
Vado
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Campobasso

(Away)
20 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 2
Pineto
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2
Campobasso
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Campobasso
05 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 4
Gubbio
01 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 1
Scafatese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
2 Ravenna 6 4 2 0 10:2 14
3 Reggiana 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
4 Grosseto 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
5 Livorno 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
6 Sassari Torres 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
7 Guidonia 1937 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
8 Forli FC 6 2 3 1 12:10 9
9 Atalanta U23 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
10 Campobasso 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 Pescara 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
12 Pineto 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
13 Gubbio 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
14 Perugia 6 2 1 3 5:11 7
15 Ostiamare 6 2 0 4 7:8 6
16 Latina 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
17 Vado 6 1 1 4 5:8 4
18 Pianese 6 0 3 3 2:6 3
19 Sambenedettese 6 0 2 4 7:11 2
20 Vis Pesaro 6 0 1 5 6:15 1
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)