Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vado vs Fossano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Beccaro A.
77' Event
Merkaj O.
90' Event
Picone G.

AI Match Summary

Vado in this Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vado
15%
Draws
85%
Fossano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fossano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vado lately — more wins on the board than Fossano.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Vado taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Vado have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Vado Clean Sheet 68%
Fossano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vado Fossano
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.87 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Fossano
2:1
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Vado
1:2
Feb 5, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Fossano
2:1
Oct 2, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Vado
0:2
Mar 6, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Vado
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vado Compare

Top Goalscorer Merkaj O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Picone G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Fossano Compare

Top Goalscorer Beccaro A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vado 77 / 100
Fossano 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vado Fossano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fossano has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Fossano has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Vado scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Vado VS -
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vado

(Home)
20 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Pescara
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Vado
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Campobasso
06 Sept
Reggiana
3 : 1
Vado
02 Sept
Spezia
3 : 0
Vado
Page 1 of 7

Fossano

(Away)
04 May
Chisola
5 : 0
Fossano
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
NovaRomentin
3 : 1
Fossano
13 Apr
Fossano
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
06 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 0
Fossano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)