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Vado vs Grosseto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vado host Grosseto in the Serie C - Group B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Vado have averaged 1.62 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Grosseto's 1.61 scored and 1.25 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.06 - 1.63) back Vado to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vado
30%
Draws
39%
Grosseto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grosseto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vado lately — more wins on the board than Grosseto.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Vado Clean Sheet 14%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vado Grosseto
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.62 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vado 35 / 100
Grosseto 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vado Grosseto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grosseto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vado found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Grosseto has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Vado went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Grosseto registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vado VS Grosseto
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vado

(Home)
17 Oct
Vado
2 : 2
Sambenedettese
11 Oct
Perugia
0 : 2
Vado
03 Oct
Vado
1 : 0
Forli FC
26 Sept
Sassari Torres
0 : 0
Vado
20 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Pescara
Page 1 of 6

Grosseto

(Away)
16 Oct
Livorno
4 : 4
Grosseto
10 Oct
Vis Pesaro
2 : 3
Grosseto
03 Oct
Grosseto
1 : 3
Sambenedettese
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4
Grosseto
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Perugia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 10 9 1 0 18:4 28
2 Ravenna 10 6 2 2 16:6 20
3 Grosseto 10 5 4 1 21:13 19
4 Reggiana 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
5 Guidonia 1937 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
6 Livorno 10 4 4 2 15:14 16
7 Perugia 10 5 1 4 14:15 16
8 Pescara 10 4 3 3 13:12 15
9 Sassari Torres 10 4 3 3 11:12 15
10 Latina 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
11 Vado 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
12 Atalanta U23 9 4 0 5 10:13 12
13 Campobasso 10 3 3 4 14:19 12
14 Forli FC 10 2 5 3 16:16 11
15 Pineto 10 2 5 3 8:11 11
16 Ostiamare 10 2 3 5 9:12 9
17 Pianese 10 1 5 4 6:10 8
18 Sambenedettese 10 1 4 5 14:17 7
19 Gubbio 10 2 1 7 10:20 7
20 Vis Pesaro 9 1 1 7 10:20 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)