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Vado vs Inter U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C Giuseppe Sivori, Sestri Levante
Fri, Aug 14, 2026
2 - 1
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Lionetti G.
44' Event
Marello M.
1' Event
Marello M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Vado
30%
Draws
27%
Inter U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vado lately — more wins on the board than Inter U23.
  • Win probability leans Vado's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Vado have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vado, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Vado Clean Sheet 68%
Inter U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vado Inter U23
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.7 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Vado vs Inter U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vado Compare

Top Goalscorer Lionetti G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Inter U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Marello M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vado 50 / 100
Inter U23 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vado Inter U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Vado stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Vado's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Inter U23 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Vado VS Inter U23
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vado

(Home)
31 Oct
Vado
2 : 2
Grosseto
23 Oct
Ostiamare
1 : 2
Vado
17 Oct
Vado
2 : 2
Sambenedettese
11 Oct
Perugia
0 : 2
Vado
03 Oct
Vado
1 : 0
Forli FC
Page 1 of 6

Inter U23

(Away)
01 Nov
Cosenza
1 : 0
Inter U23
27 Oct
Inter U23
2 : 1
Scafatese
24 Oct
Inter U23
1 : 1
Sorrento
17 Oct
Inter U23
2 : 4
Monopoli
13 Oct
Giugliano
0 : 4
Inter U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso 2
Latina 0
Spezia 2
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Bari 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Sorrento 0
Altamura 1
Gubbio 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 0
Carpi 4
Ravenna 3
Union Brescia 1
Cittadella 2
Quarter-finals
Campobasso -
Spezia -
Potenza -
A.C. Savoia -
Altamura -
Desenzano Calvina -
Carpi -
Cittadella -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -