Sport Picks
Vado vs Sestri Levante Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 
Match Events
47'
47'
Ciccone N.
(Penalty)
74'
74'
Pane M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between Vado and Sestri Levante finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Sestri Levante haven't matched Vado's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Vado Clean Sheet 68%
Sestri Levante Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vado | Sestri Levante |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 33 |
| Wins | 19 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.84 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Sestri Levante vs Vado
0:3
Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Sestri Levante
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Vado
0:1
Oct 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Vado vs Sestri Levante
3:0
Apr 2, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Vado
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vado Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Sestri Levante Compare
Top Goalscorer Pane M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vado 41 / 100
Sestri Levante 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vado Sestri Levante
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Vado scored in 73% of their last 37 outings.
Defensive concern: Sestri Levante conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Sestri Levante's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Vado VS Sestri Levante
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Vado
(Home) 03 Oct
Vado
1 : 0 Forli FC
26 Sept
Sassari Torres
0 : 0 Vado
20 Sept
Vado
0 : 1 Pescara
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2 Vado
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1 Campobasso
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03 Oct
Vado
1 : 0 Forli FC
20 Sept
Vado
0 : 1 Pescara
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1 Campobasso
21 Aug
Vado
2 : 0 Atalanta U23
14 Aug
Vado
2 : 1 Inter U23
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Sestri Levante
(Away) 27 Sept
Sestri Levante
1 : 2 AS Biellese
20 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1 Sestri Levante
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3 Fezzanese
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1 Sestri Levante
06 Sept
Sestri Levante
2 : 0 Asti Calcio
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20 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1 Sestri Levante
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1 Sestri Levante
19 Aug
Sampdoria U20
1 : 4 Sestri Levante
07 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
2 : 2 Sestri Levante
26 Apr
Celle Varazze
1 : 0 Sestri Levante
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vado | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 69:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Ligorna | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 64:26 | 72 |
| 3 | AS Biellese | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 48:29 | 57 |
| 4 | Varese FC | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 43:43 | 56 |
| 5 | Chisola | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 44:36 | 55 |
| 6 | Sestri Levante | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 54:34 | 54 |
| 7 | Sanremese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:30 | 49 |
| 8 | Valenzana | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 33:48 | 45 |
| 9 | Celle Varazze | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Saluzzo | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48:44 | 43 |
| 11 | Club Milano | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 43:49 | 42 |
| 12 | Imperia Calcio | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:44 | 41 |
| 13 | Cairese | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 29:34 | 40 |
| 14 | Derthona FbC | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 36:46 | 40 |
| 15 | Gozzano | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 37:42 | 39 |
| 16 | Asti Calcio | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:42 | 35 |
| 17 | Lavagnese | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 32:52 | 27 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 26:82 | 16 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)
