Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vaduz vs Basel

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Rheinpark Stadion, Vaduz
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vaduz host Basel in the Super League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Vaduz have averaged 2.28 scored and 1.62 conceded recently, against Basel's 1.75 scored and 2.07 conceded. Past meetings favor Vaduz slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 26, 2026, ending 2:5. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 2.38) point toward Vaduz. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Vaduz
15%
Draws
46%
Basel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Basel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vaduz lately — more wins on the board than Basel.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Vaduz Clean Sheet 10%
Basel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaduz Basel
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 11
Draws 2 4
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.28 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Basel vs Vaduz
2:5
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Vaduz vs Basel
1:2
Apr 21, 2021 Super League
Vaduz vs Basel
1:1
Apr 5, 2021 Super League
Basel vs Vaduz
1:2
Dec 12, 2020 Super League
Vaduz vs Basel
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaduz 29 / 100
Basel 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaduz Basel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaduz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vaduz's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Basel conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Vaduz has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vaduz VS Basel
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaduz

(Home)
13 Sept
Zurich
2 : 1
Vaduz
05 Sept
Vaduz
3 : 1
Lausanne
02 Sept
Luzern
2 : 1
Vaduz
30 Aug
Vaduz
5 : 2
Grasshoppers
23 Aug
Young Boys
4 : 2
Vaduz
Page 1 of 6

Basel

(Away)
13 Sept
Luzern
2 : 4
Basel
06 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
Lugano
03 Sept
Basel
1 : 2
Sion
29 Aug
Young Boys
3 : 3
Basel
22 Aug
Zurich
1 : 2
Basel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 8 7 1 0 23:7 22
2 Sion 8 6 0 2 22:13 18
3 Young Boys 8 4 4 0 28:16 16
4 Basel 8 4 1 3 16:14 13
5 Servette 8 3 1 4 9:10 10
6 St. Gallen 8 3 1 4 13:18 10
7 Zurich 8 3 1 4 13:19 10
8 Luzern 8 2 3 3 12:17 9
9 Grasshoppers 8 2 2 4 12:19 8
10 Thun 8 2 1 5 13:22 7
11 Vaduz 8 2 0 6 17:19 6
12 Lausanne 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)