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Vaduz vs Basel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Rheinpark Stadion, Vaduz
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Monsberger M.
Assist: Dalipi L.
36' Event
Monsberger M.
Assist: Schwizer D.
48'
Simani D.

AI Match Summary

Vaduz in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vaduz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Vaduz
20%
Draws
29%
Basel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vaduz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vaduz lately — more wins on the board than Basel.
  • Model gives Vaduz a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Vaduz Clean Sheet 11%
Basel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaduz Basel
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 2.8 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Super League
Vaduz vs Basel
3:0
Mar 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Basel vs Vaduz
2:5
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Vaduz vs Basel
1:2
Apr 21, 2021 Super League
Vaduz vs Basel
1:1
Apr 5, 2021 Super League
Basel vs Vaduz
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaduz Compare

Top Goalscorer Monsberger M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dalipi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Basel Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaduz 83 / 100
Basel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaduz Basel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaduz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vaduz's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Basel conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Vaduz has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vaduz VS Basel
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaduz

(Home)
03 Nov
Schaan B
0 : 20
Vaduz
31 Oct
Grasshoppers
2 : 2
Vaduz
24 Oct
Servette
2 : 1
Vaduz
11 Oct
Vaduz
3 : 0
Basel
20 Sept
Vaduz
1 : 2
Thun
Page 1 of 6

Basel

(Away)
01 Nov
Lugano
2 : 1
Basel
25 Oct
Basel
0 : 0
Grasshoppers
16 Oct
Stade Nyonnais
0 : 3
Basel
11 Oct
Vaduz
3 : 0
Basel
03 Oct
Winterthur
7 : 3
Basel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 12 11 1 0 36:10 34
2 Young Boys 12 7 4 1 38:23 25
3 Sion 12 7 2 3 25:18 23
4 Zurich 12 6 2 4 25:26 20
5 St. Gallen 12 6 1 5 19:22 19
6 Servette 12 5 1 6 17:16 16
7 Basel 12 4 2 6 18:22 14
8 Luzern 12 3 4 5 19:25 13
9 Thun 12 4 1 7 24:34 13
10 Vaduz 12 3 1 8 24:25 10
11 Grasshoppers 12 2 4 6 15:28 10
12 Lausanne 12 1 3 8 11:22 6
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)