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Vaduz vs Stade Nyonnais

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League 2025/2026 Rheinpark Stadion, Vaduz
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Campos A.
Assist: Schwizer D.
19'
Bega L.
25'
Cocic M.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League 2025/2026 game between Vaduz and Stade Nyonnais finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vaduz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Vaduz
15%
Draws
12%
Stade Nyonnais
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vaduz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Stade Nyonnais haven't matched Vaduz's recent run of results.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Vaduz taking it.
  • Regular Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vaduz have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Vaduz Clean Sheet 13%
Stade Nyonnais Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaduz Stade Nyonnais
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 19 3
Draws 3 11
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 2.06 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Vaduz
1:3
Mar 1, 2026 Challenge League
Vaduz vs Stade Nyonnais
1:0
Nov 28, 2025 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Vaduz
0:1
Aug 10, 2025 Challenge League
Vaduz vs Stade Nyonnais
3:0
May 2, 2025 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Vaduz
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaduz Compare

Top Goalscorer Campos A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Stade Nyonnais Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaduz 84 / 100
Stade Nyonnais 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaduz Stade Nyonnais

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaduz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vaduz scored in 91% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Stade Nyonnais conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Stade Nyonnais has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vaduz VS Stade Nyonnais
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaduz

(Home)
20 Sept
Vaduz
1 : 2
Thun
13 Sept
Zurich
2 : 1
Vaduz
05 Sept
Vaduz
3 : 1
Lausanne
02 Sept
Luzern
2 : 1
Vaduz
30 Aug
Vaduz
5 : 2
Grasshoppers
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Stade Nyonnais

(Away)
18 Sept
Wil
5 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
11 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
1 : 3
Xamax
06 Sept
Yverdon
4 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
01 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
2 : 2
Winterthur
28 Aug
Kriens
3 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vaduz 36 25 6 5 75:41 81
2 Aarau 36 25 5 6 77:47 80
3 Yverdon 36 20 7 9 75:48 67
4 Lausanne Ouchy 36 14 8 14 59:51 50
5 Xamax 36 14 7 15 55:56 49
6 Rapperswil-Jona 36 14 2 20 52:62 44
7 Etoile-Carouge 36 10 10 16 46:54 40
8 Wil 36 10 10 16 39:55 40
9 Stade Nyonnais 36 5 13 18 33:60 28
10 Bellinzona 36 5 8 23 40:77 23
Promotion - Super League (Main)
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Promotion League (Main)