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Vaduz vs Thun

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Rheinpark Stadion, Vaduz
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vaduz host Thun in the Super League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Vaduz have averaged 2.09 scored and 1.47 conceded recently, against Thun's 1.93 scored and 2.1 conceded. Head-to-head, Vaduz have won 1 to Thun's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 11, 2025, ending 3:3. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 2.19, favoring Vaduz. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Vaduz
30%
Draws
29%
Thun
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vaduz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Vaduz have won more games recently than Thun.
  • Model gives Vaduz a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Vaduz Clean Sheet 10%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaduz Thun
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.09 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Challenge League
Vaduz vs Thun
3:3
Jan 24, 2025 Challenge League
Thun vs Vaduz
3:1
Oct 19, 2024 Challenge League
Vaduz vs Thun
2:0
Jul 28, 2024 Challenge League
Thun vs Vaduz
2:0
May 17, 2024 Challenge League
Thun vs Vaduz
6:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaduz 47 / 100
Thun 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaduz Thun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaduz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vaduz scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Thun conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Vaduz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vaduz VS Thun
2 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaduz

(Home)
05 Sept
Vaduz
3 : 1
Lausanne
02 Sept
Luzern
2 : 1
Vaduz
30 Aug
Vaduz
5 : 2
Grasshoppers
23 Aug
Young Boys
4 : 2
Vaduz
13 Aug
Vaduz
2 : 2
Inter Turku
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Thun

(Away)
12 Sept
Thun
0 : 1
Grasshoppers
06 Sept
Sion
3 : 2
Thun
02 Sept
Thun
0 : 0
Lausanne
30 Aug
St. Gallen
3 : 4
Thun
27 Aug
Thun
2 : 2
Lech Poznan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 6 6 0 0 17:4 18
2 Young Boys 7 4 3 0 26:14 15
3 Sion 6 4 0 2 14:11 12
4 St. Gallen 6 3 1 2 12:11 10
5 Basel 7 3 1 3 12:12 10
6 Luzern 7 2 3 2 10:13 9
7 Thun 6 2 1 3 11:17 7
8 Zurich 7 2 1 4 11:18 7
9 Vaduz 7 2 0 5 16:17 6
10 Lausanne 7 1 3 3 7:10 6
11 Grasshoppers 6 1 2 3 9:14 5
12 Servette 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)