Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vaduz vs Thun - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Rheinpark Stadion, Vaduz
Vaduz Logo

Vaduz

1 - 2
FT
Thun Logo

Thun

Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Zoukit N.
33' Event
Dursun F.
39'
Bamert J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Thun in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Vaduz
15%
Draws
28%
Thun
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vaduz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Vaduz have won more games recently than Thun.
  • Model gives Vaduz a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40.8%
Vaduz Clean Sheet 68%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaduz Thun
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 2 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 2.07 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Super League
Vaduz vs Thun
1:2
May 11, 2025 Challenge League
Vaduz vs Thun
3:3
Jan 24, 2025 Challenge League
Thun vs Vaduz
3:1
Oct 19, 2024 Challenge League
Vaduz vs Thun
2:0
Jul 28, 2024 Challenge League
Thun vs Vaduz
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaduz Compare

Top Goalscorer Monsberger M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Thun Compare

Top Goalscorer Dursun F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reichmuth N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaduz 50 / 100
Thun 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaduz Thun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaduz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vaduz scored in 96% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Thun conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Thun lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vaduz VS Thun
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaduz

(Home)
24 Oct
Servette
2 : 1
Vaduz
11 Oct
Vaduz
3 : 0
Basel
20 Sept
Vaduz
1 : 2
Thun
13 Sept
Zurich
2 : 1
Vaduz
05 Sept
Vaduz
3 : 1
Lausanne
Page 1 of 6

Thun

(Away)
25 Oct
Thun
2 : 3
Lugano
22 Oct
Thun
0 : 1
Hajduk Split
18 Oct
Schaffhausen
2 : 3
Thun
15 Oct
Twente
1 : 0
Thun
10 Oct
Zurich
4 : 2
Thun
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 11 10 1 0 34:9 31
2 Young Boys 11 7 4 0 35:18 25
3 Sion 11 7 1 3 24:17 22
4 Zurich 11 5 2 4 20:23 17
5 Servette 11 5 1 5 16:14 16
6 St. Gallen 11 5 1 5 17:21 16
7 Basel 11 4 2 5 17:20 14
8 Luzern 11 3 3 5 18:24 12
9 Thun 11 3 1 7 19:30 10
10 Vaduz 11 3 0 8 22:23 9
11 Grasshoppers 11 2 3 6 13:26 9
12 Lausanne 11 1 3 7 7:17 6
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)