Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vaduz vs Xamax

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League 2025/2026 Rheinpark Stadion, Vaduz
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Reinhard S.
11'
Campos A.
28'
Kone K.

AI Match Summary

Vaduz in this Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vaduz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Vaduz
15%
Draws
51%
Xamax
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Xamax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Medium Confidence
  • Vaduz have won more games recently than Xamax.
  • Vaduz are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vaduz here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Vaduz Clean Sheet 18%
Xamax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaduz Xamax
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 14
Draws 3 3
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Challenge League
Xamax vs Vaduz
1:3
Feb 22, 2026 Challenge League
Vaduz vs Xamax
1:0
Dec 5, 2025 Challenge League
Vaduz vs Xamax
1:0
Aug 25, 2025 Challenge League
Xamax vs Vaduz
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 Challenge League
Vaduz vs Xamax
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaduz 41 / 100
Xamax 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaduz Xamax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vaduz found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Xamax conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Vaduz went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vaduz VS Xamax
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaduz

(Home)
06 Aug
Inter Turku
2 : 1
Vaduz
02 Aug
Vaduz
2 : 3
St. Gallen
30 Jul
Atletic Escaldes
0 : 2
Vaduz
26 Jul
Lugano
2 : 1
Vaduz
23 Jul
Vaduz
4 : 0
Atletic Escaldes
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Xamax

(Away)
31 Jul
Wil
1 : 2
Xamax
24 Jul
Xamax
3 : 2
Kriens
11 Jul
Lausanne
1 : 2
Xamax
04 Jul
Thun
6 : 2
Xamax
01 Jul
Xamax
2 : 4
Sion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vaduz 36 25 6 5 75:41 81
2 Aarau 36 25 5 6 77:47 80
3 Yverdon 36 20 7 9 75:48 67
4 Lausanne Ouchy 36 14 8 14 59:51 50
5 Xamax 36 14 7 15 55:56 49
6 Rapperswil-Jona 36 14 2 20 52:62 44
7 Etoile-Carouge 36 10 10 16 46:54 40
8 Wil 36 10 10 16 39:55 40
9 Stade Nyonnais 36 5 13 18 33:60 28
10 Bellinzona 36 5 8 23 40:77 23
Promotion - Super League (Main)
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Promotion League (Main)