Sport Picks
Match Events
36'
36'
Birgisson A.
39'
39'
Djuric N. D.
90'
90'
Farajsson Shwaiki J.
AI Match Summary
KA Asvellir in this Icelandic Cup 2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KA Asvellir
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- KA Asvellir haven't matched Vaengirs's recent run of results.
- Vaengirs are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Vaengirs have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor KA Asvellir, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 97%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 97%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Vaengirs Clean Sheet 10%
KA Asvellir Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vaengirs | KA Asvellir |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 17 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.19 | 2.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 3.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.63 | 2.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2025 Icelandic Cup
Vaengirs vs KA Asvellir
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vaengirs Compare
Top Goalscorer Farajsson Shwaiki J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81
KA Asvellir Compare
Top Goalscorer Birgisson A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Djuric N. D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vaengirs 83 / 100
KA Asvellir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vaengirs KA Asvellir
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vaengirs Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Vaengirs scored in 84% of their last 25 outings.
KA Asvellir has conceded goals in 88% of their last 17 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
KA Asvellir lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Vaengirs VS KA Asvellir
3.13 Goals Scored 3
2.75 Goals Conceded 4.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Vaengirs
(Home) 19 Mar
Vaengirs
2 : 3 Haukar
28 Mar
Vaengirs
1 : 2 KA Asvellir
06 Aug
Vaengirs
1 : 3 Arbaer
17 Jul
Vaengirs
4 : 0 KFK Kopavogur
13 Apr
Vaengirs
1 : 7 Throttur
Page 1 of 6
19 Mar
Vaengirs
2 : 3 Haukar
28 Mar
Vaengirs
1 : 2 KA Asvellir
06 Aug
Vaengirs
1 : 3 Arbaer
17 Jul
Vaengirs
4 : 0 KFK Kopavogur
13 Apr
Vaengirs
1 : 7 Throttur
Page 1 of 4
KA Asvellir
(Away) 20 Mar
KA Asvellir
0 : 3 Selfoss
19 Apr
KR Reykjavik
11 : 0 KA Asvellir
05 Apr
KA Asvellir
3 : 2 KFR
28 Mar
Vaengirs
1 : 2 KA Asvellir
24 Apr
KA Asvellir
2 : 9 KR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 4
19 Apr
KR Reykjavik
11 : 0 KA Asvellir
28 Mar
Vaengirs
1 : 2 KA Asvellir
06 Apr
Throttur Vogar
1 : 3 KA Asvellir
08 Apr
IBU
4 : 3 KA Asvellir
30 Apr
Fjolnir
7 : 1 KA Asvellir
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaengirs 1
KA Asvellir 2
SR Reykjavik 2
KFR 3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
KFG Gardabaer 2
Reynir 3
TBD -
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Fjallabyggd 3
Tindastoll 5
Volsungur 4
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Throttur -
TBD -
Ymir 3
Hafnir 4
Kari 7
KFS 1
Arbaer 4
Thorlakur 1
Aegir 2
KV Reykjavik 3
TBD -
Fylkir -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik -
TBD -
BF 108 8
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Throttur Vogar -
Kria 2
Lettir 1
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Olafsvik -
TBD -
Smari 4
Falkar 0
Hamar 1
Skallagrimur 3
Ulfarnir 3
Stokkseyri 0
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alafoss 3
RB Keflavik 4
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Vestri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
TBD -
IBU 0
Hviti 6
IH Hafnarfjordur 4
KH Hlidarendi 1
TBD -
Selfoss -
KFK Kopavogur 1
Ellidi 5
Alftanes 0
Haukar 3
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Magni 4
Kormakur/Hvot 2
Arborg 0
Augnablik 4
TBD -
IR Reykjavik -
Grotta -
TBD -
Vidir 2
Hordur Isafjordur 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Afturelding -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Einherji 0
Sindri 2
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFA -
TBD -
Spyrnir 5
Neisti 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/32-finals
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
KA Asvellir 3
KFR 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Reynir 0
Grindavik 5
TBD -
Valur -
Tindastoll 1
Volsungur 2
Throttur 7
Hafnir 0
Kari 8
Arbaer 1
KV Reykjavik 1
Fylkir 6
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Njardvik 5
BF 108 0
Keflavik 6
Throttur Vogar 0
Kria 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 5
Olafsvik 5
Smari 1
Skallagrimur 1
Ulfarnir 2
Breidablik -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 0
Fjolnir 4
Vestri -
TBD -
Kopavogur 4
Hviti 0
IH Hafnarfjordur 2
Selfoss 5
Ellidi 1
Haukar 3
Thor Akureyri 7
Magni 0
Augnablik 0
IR Reykjavik 5
Grotta 2
Vidir 1
TBD -
Akranes -
Afturelding -
TBD -
Sindri 0
Hottur / Huginn 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
KFA 3
Spyrnir 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/16-finals
KR Reykjavik 11
KA Asvellir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Grindavik 1
Valur 3
Volsungur 2
Throttur 3
Kari 2
Fylkir 1
Stjarnan 5
Njardvik 3
Keflavik 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Olafsvik 7
Ulfarnir 1
Breidablik 5
Fjolnir 0
Vestri 4
Kopavogur 3
Selfoss 4
Haukar 0
Thor Akureyri 3
IR Reykjavik 1
Grotta 1
Akranes 4
Afturelding 5
Hottur / Huginn 0
KA Akureyri 4
KFA 0
Fram 1
Hafnarfjordur 0
1/8-finals
KR Reykjavik 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Valur 2
Throttur 1
Kari 2
Stjarnan 3
Keflavik 5
Olafsvik 2
Breidablik 1
Vestri 2
Selfoss 1
Thor Akureyri 4
Akranes 0
Afturelding 1
KA Akureyri 2
Fram 4
Quarter-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
Valur 1
Stjarnan 4
Keflavik 2
Vestri 2
Thor Akureyri 0
Afturelding 0
Fram 1
Semi-finals
Valur 3
Stjarnan 1
Vestri 1
Fram 0
Final
Valur 0
Vestri 1
