Sport Picks
Vaengirs vs KH Hlidarendi
Iceland
Icelandic Cup 2023 
Match Events
19'
19'
Arnthorsson B. F.
30'
30'
Irisarson Santos P.
38'
38'
Bjornsson A. F.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-5, with KH Hlidarendi advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vaengirs
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Vaengirs carry the better recent record into this one.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Vaengirs taking it.
- Vaengirs have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor KH Hlidarendi, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Vaengirs Clean Sheet 10%
KH Hlidarendi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vaengirs | KH Hlidarendi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 25 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 15 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.19 | 2.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 2.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.13 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 30, 2023 Icelandic Cup
Vaengirs vs KH Hlidarendi
4:5
Jun 6, 2020 Icelandic Cup
Vaengirs vs KH Hlidarendi
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vaengirs Compare
Top Goalscorer Arnthorsson B. F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fridriksson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56
KH Hlidarendi Compare
Top Goalscorer Irisarson Santos P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Arnason S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vaengirs 38 / 100
KH Hlidarendi 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vaengirs KH Hlidarendi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vaengirs Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vaengirs scored in 84% of their last 25 games.
KH Hlidarendi has conceded goals in 84% of their last 25 outings.
Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.
Away concern: KH Hlidarendi has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Vaengirs VS KH Hlidarendi
3 Goals Scored 2.13
3.13 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Vaengirs
(Home) 19 Mar
Vaengirs
2 : 3 Haukar
28 Mar
Vaengirs
1 : 2 KA Asvellir
06 Aug
Vaengirs
1 : 3 Arbaer
17 Jul
Vaengirs
4 : 0 KFK Kopavogur
13 Apr
Vaengirs
1 : 7 Throttur
Page 1 of 6
19 Mar
Vaengirs
2 : 3 Haukar
28 Mar
Vaengirs
1 : 2 KA Asvellir
06 Aug
Vaengirs
1 : 3 Arbaer
17 Jul
Vaengirs
4 : 0 KFK Kopavogur
13 Apr
Vaengirs
1 : 7 Throttur
Page 1 of 4
KH Hlidarendi
(Away) 17 Mar
KH Hlidarendi
1 : 2 Hviti
29 Mar
IH Hafnarfjordur
4 : 1 KH Hlidarendi
17 Jul
Tindastoll
2 : 1 KH Hlidarendi
13 Apr
KH Hlidarendi
2 : 4 Fjolnir
05 Apr
KH Hlidarendi
5 : 1 Reynir
Page 1 of 5
29 Mar
IH Hafnarfjordur
4 : 1 KH Hlidarendi
17 Jul
Tindastoll
2 : 1 KH Hlidarendi
20 Apr
Grotta
4 : 3 KH Hlidarendi
08 Apr
KFR
0 : 1 KH Hlidarendi
30 Mar
Vaengirs
4 : 5 KH Hlidarendi
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Kopavogur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFG Gardabaer 7
Hafnir 0
IR Reykjavik 0
IH Hafnarfjordur 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBU 7
Hamar 0
KA Asvellir 5
Kormakur/Hvot 4
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 5
Alafoss 3
Hviti 3
GG Grindavik 2
Afturelding -
TBD -
TBD -
Grindavik -
Dalvik/Reynir -
TBD -
Hamrarnir 2
Tindastoll 7
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ymir 1
KFS 2
Throttur 18
Stokkseyri 0
KB Breidholt 2
Kria 4
TBD -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Berserkir / Midas 1
Smari 2
Reynir 1
Aegir 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
SR Reykjavik 1
Augnablik 5
Njardvik 4
Hordur Isafjordur 0
KFA -
TBD -
TBD -
Spyrnir -
Ellidi 0
Arborg 1
Kari 5
Lettir 0
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Arbaer 2
Olafsvik 1
Reynir Hellissandur 1
KFK Kopavogur 7
Selfoss 7
Alftanes 1
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Volsungur -
TBD -
Magni 4
Samherjar 0
Grotta -
TBD -
TBD -
Vestri -
Skallagrimur 2
KFR 3
Vaengirs 4
KH Hlidarendi 5
Sindri -
TBD -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulfarnir 1
Throttur Vogar 3
KV Reykjavik 17
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
TBD -
Haukar 2
Vidir 3
1/32-finals
Kopavogur -
TBD -
KFG Gardabaer 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 2
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
IBU 4
KA Asvellir 3
Valur -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 3
Hviti 2
Afturelding 0
Grindavik 1
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Tindastoll 1
Fram -
TBD -
KFS 0
Throttur 5
Kria 0
Fjolnir 10
TBD -
Breidablik -
Smari 1
Aegir 6
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Augnablik 2
Njardvik 3
KFA 7
Spyrnir 1
Arborg 1
Kari 3
Thor Akureyri 6
Fjallabyggd 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
Arbaer 0
KFK Kopavogur 0
Selfoss 8
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Volsungur 0
Magni 1
Grotta 1
Vestri 0
KFR 0
KH Hlidarendi 1
Sindri 4
Hottur / Huginn 3
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
Throttur Vogar 2
KV Reykjavik 0
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Akranes 3
Vidir 0
1/16-finals
Kopavogur 5
KFG Gardabaer 0
KA Akureyri 5
IBU 0
Valur 4
RB Keflavik 1
Grindavik 2
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Fram 2
Throttur 3
Fjolnir 0
Breidablik 2
Aegir 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
Njardvik 4
KFA 1
Kari 1
Thor Akureyri 2
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Selfoss 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 6
Magni 2
Grotta 4
KH Hlidarendi 3
Sindri 2
Fylkir 4
KR Reykjavik 3
Throttur Vogar 0
Stjarnan 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
Keflavik 1
Akranes 0
1/8-finals
Kopavogur 1
KA Akureyri 3
Valur 1
Grindavik 3
Throttur 0
Breidablik 3
Hafnarfjordur 2
Njardvik 1
Thor Akureyri 3
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Grotta 1
Fylkir 3
KR Reykjavik 4
Stjarnan 4
Keflavik 0
Quarter-finals
KA Akureyri 2
Grindavik 1
Breidablik 3
Hafnarfjordur 1
Thor Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
KR Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 1
Semi-finals
KA Akureyri 4
Breidablik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
KR Reykjavik 1
Final
KA Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
