Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vag vs Akra

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
3 - 2
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Wahlstrom C.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Tveitdal L. E.
61' Event
Gaupas J.

AI Match Summary

Vag in this Division 3 - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Vag
15%
Draws
42%
Akra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vag lately — more wins on the board than Akra.
  • Model gives Vag a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Vag Clean Sheet 12%
Akra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vag Akra
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 5
Draws 2 4
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.81 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.9 3.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Vag vs Akra
3:2
Apr 11, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Akra vs Vag
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vag Compare

Top Goalscorer Tveitdal L. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mahlaw S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Akra Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaupas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vag 38 / 100
Akra 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vag Akra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vag Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vag's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Akra conceded in 100% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Akra lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vag VS Akra
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Vag

(Home)
05 Sept
Vag
3 : 2
Akra
30 Aug
Hinna
3 : 0
Vag
22 Aug
Vag
2 : 5
Egersund
15 Aug
Vag
1 : 2
Mandalskameratene
09 Aug
Stabaek 2
2 : 0
Vag
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Akra

(Away)
05 Sept
Vag
3 : 2
Akra
30 Aug
Akra
1 : 4
Flekkeroy
15 Aug
Vindbjart
6 : 0
Akra
07 Aug
Akra
1 : 2
Varhaug
01 Aug
Staal Jorpeland
3 : 4
Akra
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