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Vag vs Haugesund 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Helgeland E.
42' Event
Bjaland K.
55' Event
Eriksen F.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2025 game between Vag and Haugesund 2 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vag
33%
Draws
27%
Haugesund 2
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Vag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Vag carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Vag taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Haugesund 2 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Vag Clean Sheet 10%
Haugesund 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vag Haugesund 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 2 4
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.38 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Vag vs Haugesund 2
2:4
Sep 13, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Vag vs Haugesund 2
4:1
Apr 21, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Haugesund 2 vs Vag
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vag Compare

Top Goalscorer Eriksen F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bjaland K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Haugesund 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Valenza W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vag 38 / 100
Haugesund 2 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vag Haugesund 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vag scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Haugesund 2 let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Vag went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vag VS Haugesund 2
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%