Sport Picks

Norway

Division 3 - Group 4

Haugesund 2

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vag play Haugesund 2 in the Division 3 - Group 4. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vag averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. Haugesund 2 averaged 1.87 goals scored and 2.52 conceded. In past meetings, Vag won 1, Haugesund 2 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Vag and 2.25 for Haugesund 2. This points to a Vag double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Vag

15%

Draws

38%

Haugesund 2

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Vag picked up more points recently compared to Haugesund 2.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 2.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 80%

Over 3.5 Goals 48%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Vag Clean Sheet 10%

Haugesund 2 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vag	Haugesund 2
Matches Played	31	31
Wins	14	10
Draws	2	5
Losses	15	16
Goals Scored	1.97	1.87
Goals Conceded	1.94	2.52
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4

Vag vs Haugesund 2

Possession: 53% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

2:4

Sep 13, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5

Vag vs Haugesund 2

Possession: 52% - 54% Cards: 1 - 0

4:1

Apr 21, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5

Haugesund 2 vs Vag

Possession: 49% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vag Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovac A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Schroter F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Haugesund 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lie P. E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Jakobsen F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.39

Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vag 44 / 100

Haugesund 2 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vag Haugesund 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vag or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8%

1.35

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vag attacking → ← attacking Haugesund 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vag scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Haugesund 2 let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Vag went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Haugesund 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 35

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.63

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25