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Vag vs Hinna

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
3 - 0
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Foyen V.
43' Event
Fuglestad O.
80' Event
Mahlaw S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 game between Vag and Hinna finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Vag
22%
Draws
18%
Hinna
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Vag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Hinna haven't matched Vag's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vag a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vag here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Vag Clean Sheet 16%
Hinna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vag Hinna
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 15 10
Draws 2 6
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Vag vs Hinna
3:0
Aug 30, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Vag vs Hinna
4:0
May 10, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Hinna vs Vag
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vag Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuglestad O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mahlaw S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Hinna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vag 57 / 100
Hinna 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vag Hinna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vag scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Hinna conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Vag stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vag VS Hinna
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%