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Vag vs Vindbjart

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Fofana M.
45'
Eriksen F.
53'
Jensen T. R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 3 - Group 5 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vag
40%
Draws
29%
Vindbjart
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Vindbjart have won more games recently than Vag.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Vag Clean Sheet 10%
Vindbjart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vag Vindbjart
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 18
Draws 2 5
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.38 2
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Vag vs Vindbjart
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Vag vs Vindbjart
1:1
Jul 19, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Vindbjart vs Vag
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vag Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuglestad O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Vindbjart Compare

Top Goalscorer Fofana M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vag 30 / 100
Vindbjart 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vag Vindbjart

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vag's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Vindbjart let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Vag stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vag VS Vindbjart
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%