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Vaiala Tongan vs Vaivase-Tai

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vaiala Tongan play Vaivase-Tai in the OFC Champions League 2024. Vaivase-Tai are favorites here. Recently, Vaiala Tongan averaged 0 goals scored and 13.67 conceded. Vaivase-Tai averaged 2.89 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. In past meetings, Vaiala Tongan won 0, Vaivase-Tai won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 22, 2024 ended 0:14. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Vaiala Tongan and 1.00 for Vaivase-Tai. This points to a Vaivase-Tai double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Vaiala Tongan
25%
Draws
60%
Vaivase-Tai
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Vaivase-Tai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Vaiala Tongan picked up more points recently compared to Vaivase-Tai.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%
Vaiala Tongan Clean Sheet 23%
Vaivase-Tai Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaiala Tongan Vaivase-Tai
Matches Played 3 9
Wins 0 3
Draws 0 3
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 0 2.89
Goals Conceded 13.67 2.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 13.67 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2024 OFC Champions League
Vaiala Tongan vs Vaivase-Tai
0:14

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaiala Tongan Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Vaivase-Tai Compare

Top Goalscorer Nanumea F.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Tumua D.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaiala Tongan 18 / 100
Vaivase-Tai 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaiala Tongan Vaivase-Tai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaivase-Tai Win (2)
Secondary Pick Vaivase-Tai & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vaiala Tongan attacking → ← attacking Vaivase-Tai

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vaiala Tongan scored in 0% of their last 3 games.

Vaivase-Tai let in goals in 78% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 14.00 goals.

Vaiala Tongan went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Vaivase-Tai lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 12
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
13.67 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vaivase-Tai321018:07
2Tupapa320117:66
3Veitongo311115:34
4Vaiala Tongan30030:410