Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vaivase-Tai vs Tupapa

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Taualai V.
43' Event
Taualai V.
45' Event
Kwan A.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2024 game between Vaivase-Tai and Tupapa finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vaivase-Tai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Vaivase-Tai
30%
Draws
31%
Tupapa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vaivase-Tai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Vaivase-Tai haven't matched Tupapa's recent run of results.
  • Tupapa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Vaivase-Tai Clean Sheet 20%
Tupapa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vaivase-Tai Tupapa
Matches Played 9 27
Wins 3 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 2.89 2.15
Goals Conceded 2.67 3.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2026 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Vaivase-Tai
1:1
Feb 16, 2024 OFC Champions League
Vaivase-Tai vs Tupapa
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vaivase-Tai Compare

Top Goalscorer Taualai V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kwan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Tupapa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vaivase-Tai 10 / 100
Tupapa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vaivase-Tai Tupapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tupapa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tupapa conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Vaivase-Tai remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Tupapa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vaivase-Tai VS Tupapa
2.75 Goals Scored 3.13
3 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vaivase-Tai

(Home)
05 Feb
Nukuhetulu
3 : 5
Vaivase-Tai
03 Feb
Tupapa
1 : 1
Vaivase-Tai
30 Jan
Vaivase-Tai
1 : 1
Pago Youth
19 May
Vaivase-Tai
1 : 5
Ifira Blackbird
16 May
Magenta
8 : 0
Vaivase-Tai
Page 1 of 2

Tupapa

(Away)
15 Aug
Tupapa
1 : 7
ABM Galaxy
12 Aug
Rewa
4 : 2
Tupapa
09 Aug
Lae City
4 : 1
Tupapa
06 Feb
Pago Youth
0 : 3
Tupapa
03 Feb
Tupapa
1 : 1
Vaivase-Tai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vaivase-Tai 3 2 1 0 18:0 7
2 Tupapa 3 2 0 1 17:6 6
3 Veitongo 3 1 1 1 15:3 4
4 Vaiala Tongan 3 0 0 3 0:41 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2024 (Main)