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Vakhsh vs Khosilot Parkhar

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ismoilov S.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga 2025 game between Vakhsh and Khosilot Parkhar finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vakhsh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vakhsh
6%
Draws
90%
Khosilot Parkhar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Khosilot Parkhar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Vakhsh and Khosilot Parkhar close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Win probability leans Khosilot Parkhar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Vakhsh Clean Sheet 19%
Khosilot Parkhar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vakhsh Khosilot Parkhar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 12 7
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Khosilot Parkhar
2:2
Aug 21, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Khosilot Parkhar
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Khosilot Parkhar vs Vakhsh
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Khosilot Parkhar vs Vakhsh
1:2
Jun 22, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Khosilot Parkhar
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vakhsh Compare

Top Goalscorer Ismoilov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Khosilot Parkhar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vakhsh 10 / 100
Khosilot Parkhar 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vakhsh Khosilot Parkhar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KHO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Vakhsh scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Khosilot Parkhar conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Vakhsh has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vakhsh VS Khosilot Parkhar
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Istiqlol Dushanbe22155258:1850
2Vakhsh22129133:1845
3CSKA Pomir Dushanbe22107538:2337
4Ravshan Kulob22811326:2035
5Khujand2294924:2531
6Regar-TadAZ2286825:2430
7Eskhata2279631:3030
8Barkchi Hisor2269722:2027
9Khosilot Parkhar22661027:3824
10Istaravshan22471123:4219
11Hulbuk22271315:3913
12Panjsher22261416:4112