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Vakhsh vs Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vakhsh host Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov in the Vysshaya Liga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Vakhsh at 1.41 goals for, 1.09 against; Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov at 0.77 for, 2.3 against. Head-to-head, Vakhsh have won 1 to Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.38, favoring Vakhsh. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vakhsh
30%
Draws
23%
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vakhsh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov haven't matched Vakhsh's recent run of results.
  • Vakhsh are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Vakhsh Clean Sheet 17%
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vakhsh Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 13 5
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 1.41 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.09 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov vs Vakhsh
1:1
Aug 13, 2016 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
2:1
Jun 18, 2016 Vysshaya Liga
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov vs Vakhsh
0:0
Nov 29, 2015 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0:0
Nov 22, 2015 Vysshaya Liga
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov vs Vakhsh
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vakhsh 84 / 100
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vakhsh Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vakhsh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Vakhsh scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Vakhsh stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vakhsh VS Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vakhsh

(Home)
17 Sept
Vakhsh
0 : 1
Regar-TadAZ
11 Sept
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Vakhsh
29 Aug
Vakhsh
1 : 1
Istaravshan
15 Aug
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 1
Vakhsh
01 Aug
Vakhsh
4 : 2
Eskhata
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Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov

(Away)
09 Oct
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0 : 1
Khujand
15 Sept
Khosilot Parkhar
2 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
08 Sept
Ravshan Kulob
2 : 3
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
30 Aug
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0 : 4
Istiqlol Dushanbe
18 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
3 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
2 Regar-TadAZ 17 11 4 2 23:9 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 Barkchi Hisor 16 7 3 6 24:23 24
5 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 16 7 3 6 18:20 24
6 Khujand 16 6 6 4 15:11 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 17 4 3 10 15:32 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 17 0 6 11 15:35 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)