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Vakhsh vs Regar-TadAZ - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Vakhsh and Regar-TadAZ finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Regar-TadAZ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Vakhsh
35%
Draws
41%
Regar-TadAZ
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Regar-TadAZ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Regar-TadAZ come out ahead of Vakhsh on wins alone.
  • Model gives Regar-TadAZ a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Vakhsh Clean Sheet 20%
Regar-TadAZ Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vakhsh Regar-TadAZ
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 13 17
Draws 13 9
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.41 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.09 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Regar-TadAZ
0:1
Apr 24, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs Vakhsh
3:2
Oct 5, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs Vakhsh
1:1
Mar 28, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Regar-TadAZ
1:1
Jun 28, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Regar-TadAZ
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vakhsh 24 / 100
Regar-TadAZ 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vakhsh Regar-TadAZ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Regar-TadAZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vakhsh's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Regar-TadAZ conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Vakhsh stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vakhsh VS Regar-TadAZ
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vakhsh

(Home)
17 Sept
Vakhsh
0 : 1
Regar-TadAZ
11 Sept
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Vakhsh
29 Aug
Vakhsh
1 : 1
Istaravshan
15 Aug
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 1
Vakhsh
01 Aug
Vakhsh
4 : 2
Eskhata
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Regar-TadAZ

(Away)
17 Sept
Vakhsh
0 : 1
Regar-TadAZ
08 Sept
Regar-TadAZ
0 : 0
Khujand
30 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
1 : 0
Regar-TadAZ
18 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
3 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
12 Aug
Maziya
0 : 3
Regar-TadAZ
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
2 Regar-TadAZ 17 11 4 2 23:9 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 Barkchi Hisor 16 7 3 6 24:23 24
5 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 16 7 3 6 18:20 24
6 Khujand 16 6 6 4 15:11 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 17 4 3 10 15:32 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 17 0 6 11 15:35 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)