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Valadares Gaia FC vs Paredes

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Erik
17' Event
Meireles H.
Own Goal
46' Event
Erik

AI Match Summary

Paredes in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paredes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Valadares Gaia FC
17%
Draws
70%
Paredes
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Paredes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Paredes have won more games recently than Valadares Gaia FC.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Paredes taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Valadares Gaia FC Clean Sheet 19%
Paredes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Valadares Gaia FC Paredes
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 12
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Valadares Gaia FC vs Paredes
1:4
Sep 3, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Paredes vs Valadares Gaia FC
3:0
May 3, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Paredes vs Valadares Gaia FC
0:0
Jan 5, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Valadares Gaia FC vs Paredes
0:1
Sep 9, 2018 Taça de Portugal
Valadares Gaia FC vs Paredes
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Valadares Gaia FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Paredes Compare

Top Goalscorer Erik
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cardoso L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Valadares Gaia FC 16 / 100
Paredes 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Valadares Gaia FC Paredes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valadares Gaia FC's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Paredes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Valadares Gaia FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Paredes
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Amarante FC26178140:1559
2Sao Joao de Ver26129527:1845
3Gondomar26127728:2043
4AD Marco 0926118729:2241
5Rebordosa26812627:2336
6Paredes2698931:2535
7SC Salgueiros2698935:2635
8Vitoria Guimaraes B26810835:3234
9Beira Mar26810831:3134
10Florgrade2689924:2433
11Oliveira do Douro26681225:3326
12Valadares Gaia FC26661422:4724
13ACDR Lamelas26731619:3924
14Vila Mea26641627:4522